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Linn Group Morning Corn CommentCHICAGO - Apr 4/08 - SNS -- Following is the morning corn futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. The corn market rallied to new all-time highs yesterday with fund buying and worries about wet weather delaying corn processing. The May and July closed at least 4 cents higher and the December closed over 7 cents as each month closed at $6.00 or higher. The corn market made the highs around 12 noon and then found some profit taking, actually trading 3-4 lower, but it recovered into the close to close near the highs. The rain continues to fall across most of the Midwest and southern areas again and the forecast has more rain over the next week or so. Now that we have the USDA report behind us, traders have focused their attention on the weather and getting corn in the ground. There is still plenty of time to get corn planted, but it is still a worry because the stocks are low and we are expected to plant a lot less acres than last year. Weather, low stocks, and fund buying will help hold corn higher and prevent any big sellers in corn. Traders said it will be difficult to sell corn until they start getting some corn planted. Volume was moderate, not as big as the last couple of days, but still strong. Funds were buyers again today, buying 5,000+ contracts at the end of the session. The corn market overnight closed a little lower as the market was pretty quiet for the first time in it seems like months. The May, July and December contracts all had app. a 3 cent trading range. Very little news out this morning as the market continues to watch the weather forecasts and rests after the way it has been trading the last month or so. The corn market should be well supported because of the wet/cold weather across most of the Midwest and the lower acreage estimate by the USDA. The corn market is expected to open a little lower today and I expect the market to find buying on any attempt to sell the corn market off early in the session. We might see some profit taking early, but it will be a surprise to see selling late as most traders will not want to go home over the weekend with a short position. Keep one eye on the mid-day weather forecast to see any change in the rain situation. Globex Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZCK8 598^6 -1^2 599^6 596^0 ZCN8 612^2 -1^2 612^6 609^2 ZCU8 613^0 -1^0 614^0 611^0 ZCZ8 609^4 -0^6 610^0 606^6 ZCH9 616^0 0^0 616^0 613^6 Early Opening Calls: steady, easier Top News -- Chair of the Senate Ag committee said a proposal to limit the amount of acres enrolled in the CRP program to 32 mln acres is down from the current cap of 39 mln acres. Currently there are 34.7 mln acres in the program. -- Ship loading reportedly has resumed in Brazil's Paranagua port, acc. to a senior union official & confirmed by a local shipping agent -- Mississippi River lock & dam #25 repairs scheduled to begin Mar 31 will stop north & south bound barge traffic for up to 8 days, acc. to US Army Corp of Engineers. The lock & dam is 60 miles north of St Louis. -- CME Group announced it will offer electronically traded options on futures contracts in Corn, Soybeans, Soymeal, Soyoil, Wheat, Oats, & Rough Rice side by side during day-time open outcry trading hours beginning April 14, 2008. -- Apr 15 is deadline to submit bids in a 100,000 mt Barley tender floated by Jordan. Delivery for 50k mt is expected in FH May & the balance in LH May -- China's Dalian Futures exchange was closed on Friday -- Globex Corn Vol: 197,718; Pit Vol.: 27,911; Open Interest change: +3,217 -- Weather: 6-10 Day Forecast: Normal to Below Temps West, Above Temps East. Above Normal Precip. Showers will be ending in the eastern Corn Belt later today. Saturday into Monday looks dry. Tuesday rain moves west to east. Temps normal to below. -- Outside markets: Energy Complex +0.61 at $104.44; Gold & Silver: +3.3 at $908.2 & -0.075 at $17.360; US $ is slightly better vs. Yen & is slightly easier vs. Euro Cash Markets -- CIF Corn steady off 2. Apr. +39 to +42, May +41 to +45, June +34 to +36, July +38 to +42, Oct. +40 to +45, Nov. +40 to +44, Dec. +45 to +48 TREND: The wheat market spent all day trading in a 15 cent trading range. The market was not able to stay down even when it broke out of the trading range to the down side. This is the third day of more stable trade. Is 50 cents off the recent lows and into resistance on small rallies. Feels like very limited upside potential unless driven by news of frost or wheat being abandoned in the hard wheat belt. Remain long KC and short Chi. Also trying to stay long corn and short wheat but wheat is not cooperating. Some people looking at the Mpls May spreads starting to gain again --- must have had 20 questions today about who was stuck this time? Corn continues to chew into new contract highs daily. See no end to this yet. Upside counts on CK are 6.38. Come away from length over 6.20 but not sure I would want to get short. Farmers should use this round of buying to market most of what is left of old crop but would certainly be limited in new crop marketing. No need to do more than 25 to 30 pct on a trade over 6.20. If you have any questions or want to discuss specific trade recommendations, contact me directly. Jim Riley Linn Group 877-787-6278 jriley@linngroup.com www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. 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