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Linn Group Morning Corn CommentCHICAGO - Mar 12/08 - SNS -- Following is the morning corn futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. The corn market closed higher on Tuesday but well off the highs as we saw some selling pressure late in the session from the soy complex. The May, July, and December contract closed over 6 cents higher, but all three months were up 10-13 cents earlier in the session. The USDA supply/demand report released by the USDA before the market opened was neutral for corn, but it was bullish for the soy complex and wheat and those markets were higher early in the session. The grain complex was really led higher by Chicago wheat with it trading higher from the beginning of the day and then closed limit up after trading as much as 20-30 cents higher than limit via options. Traders also pointed to the crude oil market as helping push corn higher as crude made another all-time high and a new high close. Corn and crude have been linked because of ethanol and when there is a lack of fresh news, traders always keep an eye on the crude market. Volume was moderate/heavy and funds were net buyers of 7,000 contracts. The corn market was lower overnight on profit taking and little new news on the corn market. The corn market really needs positive news to continue to move higher, especially with So. America harvest continuing. Traders have said that the corn in So. America is still more expensive that US corn, but we have seen weekly export sales disappoint the market the last couple of weeks. The fundamentals of the corn market haven't changed and we are seeing price direction being dictated by money flowing into and out of the commodity markets. The corn market continues to be very choppy and that will probably continue until we get the USDA report on March 31st showing planting intentions. Traders will continue to look at the outside markets and the other grain markets for direction. Right now, traders want to point to the funds and outside markets as the big influence on the corn market. We look for the corn market to open lower today in-line with the overnight markets, down 3-5. The market will look for direction from other markets. Globex Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZCH8 551^0 -13^0 562^0 551^0 ZCK8 568^2 -4^2 572^6 561^0 ZCN8 579^6 -4^6 584^6 573^0 ZCU8 580^2 -6^2 585^0 573^2 ZCZ8 580^4 -5^0 585^0 572^4 Early Opening Calls: 3-5 cents down Top News -- Argentine gov't official says soybean export tax raised to 44% a 9% pt increase from the current 35%, sunseed export tax is rising to 39% from the current 32%, while Wheat & Corn export taxes were lowered by 1% point. -- 48,000 mt of Corn buy tender issued by group of Israeli millers & the origin would likely be S American or US, bid deadline is March 12th & delivery was expected in June -- CBOT March Corn Delivery Data: 561 total -- Dalian Corn futures for Sept delivery were 13 Yuan lower and settled at 1,821 Yuan/mt. -- Globex Corn Vol: 221,523; Pit Vol.: 31,063; Open Interest change: +569 -- Weather: 6-10 Day Forecast: Normal to Below Temps. Normal to Above Precip. The Corn Belt will be dry today. Thursday will see some light showers in the east. Friday and Saturday will see some rain or snow. Sunday looks dry. Temps near normal. -- Outside markets: Energy Complex -0.24 at $108.51; Gold & Silver: +2.1 at $978.2 & +0.013 at $19.692; US $ is lower vs. Euro & Yen Cash Markets -- CIF Corn steady off 1. Mar. +40 to +42, Apr. +38 to +41, May +42 to +45, June +37 to +41, July +42 to +45, Oct. +41 to +45, Nov. +42 to +46. TREND: Corn moved into new highs and has all the ear marks of a market that wants to go higher. It is bothersome that it is so methodical when all the other markets are zipping around? Support 5 to 10 lower and new highs every day or so until we put a 6 on the font of this market. The big story continues to be the lack of supplies from other origins and the concern about reduced US acres. Makes this a story that hangs around for a while. Interesting that canola was able to leave the one day island of yesterday's trade. Suspect it is indeed tied to new China buying interest. If we leave the trade from today with higher prices tomorrow could see this market back at the highs and higher by the end of the month. Counts are still 880 there. If you have any questions or want to discuss specific trade recommendations, contact me directly. Jim Riley Linn Group 877-787-6278 jriley@linngroup.com www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. 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