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Linn Group Morning Corn CommentCHICAGO - Feb 15/08 - SNS -- Following is the morning corn futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. The corn market moved higher on Thursday on the back of gains in the soy complex and wheat markets. The oilseeds and the wheat are leading the grain markets higher and the corn is being dragged higher on the lack of news. The March contract closed 14 cents higher and the July and December closed over 13 cents higher. The real story, besides MN wheat, is the oilseeds, specifically bean oil and rapeseed. The oilseed markets are on fire and some traders talking about these markets just getting started depending on the damage to China's crop by this winter storm. It is tough to get accurate information out of China, but the damage seems to be severe. The corn market was also pulled higher by the crude oil market which was up almost $2.00. The weekly export sales released before the opening on Thursday were strong and within the estimated ranges. Volume was strong again on Thursday and funds were net buyers of 7,000+ contracts on the day. Overnight, the corn market continued to move higher following the wheat and soy complex. Outside markets are also higher with crude oil up almost $1.00 this morning. The weather in So. America remains good and should help late filling ears, but the story today isn't supply, but demand. The demand for corn and all grains is high and you can't get enough acres. Corn prices will continue to be strong as they compete for acres. Today, the corn market will look to the other grain markets for direction. The wheat market was very strong overnight with the March MN wheat up over $1. Yes, I said up over $1. Breaks in corn seem to be well supported, but it will be tough to find traders willing to step out and buy new highs in the corn market unless the rest of the grains are higher. Corn should open higher this morning in-line with where the market closed overnight. There is very little news out on the corn market this morning, so look to the other grain markets for direction. Globex Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZCH8 513^6 2^6 515^0 510^4 ZCK8 525^6 3^0 527^0 522^2 ZCN8 537^6 4^4 538^0 533^2 ZCU8 537^0 3^6 537^0 533^0 ZCZ8 537^2 5^0 537^2 531^6 Early Opening Calls: 2-3 cents better Top News -- Dalian Corn Sept futures rose 2 Yuan to 1,797 Yuan/mt on volume of 542,488 contracts -- Globex Corn Vol: 186,676; Pit Vol.: 33,368; Open Interest change: +2,904 -- Outside markets: Energy Complex +0.37 at $95.83; Gold & Silver: +3.2 at $910.4 & +0.202 at $17.455; US $ is lower vs. Euro and Yen TREND: Make no mistake---the new market is an oilseed and vegoil trade. Would have to assume the gap into new contract highs in both canola and soyoil could find some resistance for a minute but instead feel this is the beginning of a new leg that could be extended. Not to be fooled with. Maintain ownership and add to on any inter day 100 to 150 point break in soyoil. Targets 62 to 64 cents. Targets for canola push $880. Wheat has moved into the first level of resistance. Not sure it is worth the risk but back to the short side in Chi on the rally today. Buying corn against those shorts this morning did not give a whole lot of protection but feel this is also the right trade. Just have to have the money and the stomach to stay with the trade in these big swings Corn ran into resistance into the reversal trade of last week. Lot of traders willing to sell into that area. Buying corn at 5.10 over the last couple of weeks has not made anyone any money. Suspect the option trade again causes it to set back some and test 5.00 again. So why did I stay long tonight? Just a feeling that this time it might be for real? If you have any questions or want to discuss specific trade recommendations, contact me directly. Jim Riley Linn Group 877-787-6278 jriley@linngroup.com www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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