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Linn Group Morning Corn CommentCHICAGO - Feb 14/08 - SNS -- Following is the morning corn futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. The corn market closed lower on Wednesday as we continued to see liquidation in wheat and little to no news. The March contract closed ¾ lower and the December closed down 1. There is very little new news out on the corn market, so it is looking for outside markets for direction and wheat is that outside market right now. The exchanges have raised margins and trading limits in an attempt to get wheat to trade and find out how high prices can go and it seems to have worked for now. Wheat/corn spread liquidation has helped support corn prices on breaks and it seems like corn finds buyers on any break. Corn did recover from early lows as we saw crude oil and the soy complex, specifically bean oil, rally late in the session and help the corn market move higher. The volume was light/moderate yesterday and funds were light sellers of 1,000 contracts on the day. Overnight, the corn market moved higher after we saw a strong rebound in the wheat market and soybeans and bean oil moved higher. The wheat market is the leader along with the oilseeds right now and with both of those markets rallying up strong overnight, corn came along for the ride. Technicians will tell you that the corn market is still in a trading range and it will take some new news or a strong rally in the other grain markets to get it to break out of the trading range. Export sales released this morning were within the estimates and were once again very good. Traders were expecting export sales of 800,000 to 1.0 mil and actual sales were 932,400. Some traders said they think that the market has gotten used to the higher prices and the bottom line is they need corn and are going to have to pay the higher prices, because it doesn’t look like prices are going a lot lower even if they have record yields. We haven’t seen the huge sales the last couple of weeks, but then again, demand isn’t going anywhere. Weather in So. America remains conducive to crop development and harvest of beans in Brazil. Both Brazil and Argentina remain The corn market is a follower right now and wheat and oilseeds are leading the grain complex. The corn market should open higher in-line with last nights action and then look to the other grain markets for direction. Globex Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZCH8 502^2 5^2 503^2 496^4 ZCK8 514^6 5^0 515^2 509^0 ZCN8 525^0 5^0 525^4 519^2 ZCU8 524^6 5^2 525^0 520^0 ZCZ8 524^4 5^2 525^0 519^0 Early Opening Calls: 4-6 cents better Top News **USDA Export Sales, Corn: 932,400 in 07/08 marketing year, 48k in 08/09 year -- Globex Corn Vol: 162,383; Pit Vol.: 48,918; Open Interest change: -939 -- Weather: -- Outside markets: Energy Complex +1.08 at $94.35; Gold & Silver: +0.2 at $905.7 & -0.118 at $17.236; US $ is lower vs. Euro and is steady vs. Yen Cash Markets TREND: Had it not been for the Limit up Mpls Mch contract today the other wheat markets might have been limit down. That single contract and the tight cash implied was enough to prevent some sellers from carrying the short home. There is no chance of US wheat trading into Egypt but do expect them to be a buyer on this break. Do not be surprised if European offers do not follow US futures down? Sell small 15 to 20 cent rallies in Chi wheat. The Jly is safer but some will want to try the May due to inverses that are sure to melt away? Use a test of 4.90 to buy CH to extend user coverage. Not sure the CH is ready to trade above 5.10 to 5.15 until the options expire next week. Lot of corn/wheat to support this market today. If you have any questions or want to discuss specific trade recommendations, contact me directly. Jim Riley Linn Group 877-787-6278 jriley@linngroup.com www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. 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