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Linn Group Morning Corn CommentCHICAGO - Dec 4/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning corn futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. The corn market closed slightly higher but well off the highs made earlier in the session on the back of corn/wheat and corn/bean spreading. The March contract closed up 2 cents after being up almost 10 cents earlier in the session. Traders pointed to the spreading, good export inspections, and fund reallocation as the reasons for corn to rally in the face of sell offs in the beans and the wheat. There was very little news out on the corn market so traders seemed to come up with reasons for the rally. The sell off after the early gains was technical according to some traders, while other pointed to profit taking. There jus didn't seem any reason for the corn market to extend and find buyers on a higher market. Weekly export inspections were 55.618, above expectation of 52-55 mil and above last weeks inspections of 53.121. Traders also talked about possible fund reallocation out of beans and wheat and into corn. Today we may have seen some traders trying to position themselves for this anticipated fund reallocation. Funds bot 4,000+ contracts on the day. So. Korea announced the purchase of 55,000 tones of US corn, further evidence that there is no corn coming out of China. eCBOT market was higher overnight on continued to move higher after giving up most of the gains yesterday. Traders pointed to excellent demand, continued fund re-allocation, and talk out of Argentina that there may be some frost damage to the newly planted corn crop. Worldwide demand for corn remains excellent as it seems like So. Korea is coming to the US corn almost daily. Mexico bot 545,000+ tones of US corn for 07/08 and 08/09. We have speculated that the most important part of this story is that they are coming to the US instead China, maybe telling the world they know something about China's corn situation. We also continue to hear talk from traders that index funds and other investment funds will be re-allocating money out of beans and wheat and into corn. We saw some of this price action yesterday, but it is difficult to tell if this was action fund re-allocation or just traders trying to jump on a trade idea. Argentina remains a major competitor of the US for corn exports so weather there remains very important and now there are rumors that the newly planted may have been damaged by frost. We look for the corn market to open higher today and look to try and go higher. There seems to be positive news around the market and it will try and push the March corn up toward the highs. The March contract has traded up to the top of the range and failed, so that should be key. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZCZ7 389^2 3^2 389^2 385^4 ZCH8 406^2 2^6 407^0 403^4 ZCK8 417^2 3^2 417^2 413^6 ZCN8 425^4 2^4 426^0 422^0 Early Opening Calls: 2-3 better Top News *USDA reports private sale of 545,084 mt of US Corn sold to Mexico for 07/08 & 08/09 -- December 11th is the date set by China's gov't to sell state reserve Corn into the domestic market in a bid to lower food prices & tame inflation, acc. to Chinese Nat'l Development committee -- Dalian Corn futures May Corn futures fell 2 Yuan in overnight trade to 1760 y/mt, Sept futures were 1 higher at 1838 y/mt -- eCBOT Corn Vol: 162,377; Pit Vol.: 53,341; Open Interest change: +5,432 -- Weather: 6-10 Day Forecast: Normal to Below Temps. Normal to Above Precip. Most of the Corn belt will be dry today except for some light snow in the far north. Dry Wednesday. -- Outside markets. Energy -.31 at 89$; Gold & Silver: +8.6 at 797$ & +.25 at 14.26$ ; US $ lower vs. Yen, Sharply lower vs. Euro Cash Markets -- CIF Corn steady off 1. Dec. +31 to +33, LH Dec. +34 to +39,, Jan. +44 to +47, Feb. +51 to +54, Mar. +50 to +54, A/M +40 to +44 J/J +41 to +45 If you have any questions or want to discuss specific trade recommendations, contact me directly. Jim Riley Linn Group 877-787-6278 jriley@linngroup.com www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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