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Alaron Softs CommentCHICAGO - Nov 19/07 - SNS -- Following is the orange juice, cotton and coffee comment from Alaron Trading Corp. **These markets will have normal trading hours on Wednesday, November 21st, and will be closed for the Thanksgiving Holiday on Thursday, 11/22, and Friday, 11/23. They will re-open on Monday, 11/26.** The cotton market continues to be pressured by speculative long liquidation as a new monthly low was made today of 65.50 basis March. This market has been under pressure due to the large crop that is being harvested and the lack of demand. Since the beginning of the year, there were expectations for strong demand from China. However, that demand has not been seen. This is what has kept a lid on this market. The market has found underlying support as it has been trying to keep up with the higher prices seen in the wheat and beans in the last few months as they battle for acreage. The cotton market already lost acreage this year to the corn market and will more than likely lose acreage next year. But if demand does not pick up, the upside potential in this market may be limited. Near term, this market is oversold as prices have dropped almost 500 points since 11/7. Spread trading has been active this month ahead of first notice day for the December contract on November 26th. Support for March is at 65.00-65.35. Resistance is at 66.50. March coffee futures were significantly lower today due to weakness in the London market. Origin and speculative selling pushed prices lower. Coffee were steadily moving higher since the middle of this month. However, there was little buying interest in this market near 130.00 basis March. Volume was light ahead of the holiday weekend. The market has found underlying support as some are expecting a decline in the Brazilian crop due to the lack of rain in September and the first half of October. As of 11/19, stocks in certified warehouses were at 4,558,131 bags with 57,910 bags waiting to be graded. Support for March is at 125.00. Resistance is at 128.50-128.55. Boyd Cruel Alaron Research Team 800.563.9510 bcruel@alaron.com DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the author(s) that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. and/or STAT Publishing or its staff and/or management.
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