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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Nov 19/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. On Friday Soybeans surged to new 19 year highs once again but were unable to hold the gains ending the session down 1 cent. Fridays strength stemmed from stronger than expected weekly export sales mainly from China. The USDA reported 1,296,300 mt of US soybeans sold for export last week, a marketing year high. This was well above estimates of 650,000 to 850,000 mt. Also adding support to Fridays trade was a rally in crude oil once again as the front month gained $1.70. Volume was heavy, 123,110 soybeans traded, 90,298 Oil and 86,025 meal. Funds bought an estimated 2,000 Soybeans, 4,000 Oil and even in Meal. Early opening calls are higher. Strength in Crude oil and the weak dollar once again are the focus of traders today. China continues their buying ways as the USDA reports private sale of 221,000 mt US Soybeans to China for delivery in 2007/08 MY adding to last weeks purchases. The commitment of traders report with options as of November 13th. shows funds long 148,629 Soybeans up 4,620 Meal long 71,180 down 608 and Oil long 60,732 down 3252. Index funds long 174,096 up 228. Overnight Chinese Soybeans and Soybean Oil closed lower. Meal mixed. Malaysian Palm Oil futures closed higher. Early Opening Calls: Beans 7 to 10 cents higher, Meal $2.00 to $4.00 higher, Bean oil .20 to .40 higher. Top News *USDA reports private sale of 221,000 mt US Soybeans to China for delivery in 2007/08 MY -- Dalian Soybean May futures rose 6 yuan/mt to 4546 yuan/mt, however all other trading months were lower; Soymeal May futures were 1 yuan lower; Soyoil futures sharply lower at 122 yuan/mt to 9376 yuan/mt basis the May futures contract. -- Malaysian Palm rose to 2950 ringgit/mt ($874.72) a rise of 46 ringgit ($13.63) from Friday's settlement. -- eCBOT Soybean Vol. 90,995; Pit Vol. 27,000; Open Interest Change: +9,976 -- Weather: 6-10 Day Forecast: Below Normal Temps. Above Normal Precip. The Corn Belt will be mostly dry today. Rain and some snow will move west to east Tuesday and Wednesday. -- Outside markets. Energy: crude higher, products higher ; Gold $1.30 higher & Silver: slightly higher; US $ lower vs Euro & Yen Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans up 1-2. Nov. +28 to +32, Dec. +40 to +??, Jan. +50 to +55, Feb. +37 to +42, Mar. +38 to +41, Apr. +35 to +40, May +35 to +40, J/J +35 to +40. To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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