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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Sep 17/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. November Soybeans rallied again on Friday to close 13 ½ cents higher. This was the 5th. consecutive higher close for soybeans. For the week November Soybeans gained 49 ½ cents and this is the 4th consecutive higher weekly close. Traders say much of Fridays gains were on fears of frost damaging the soybean plants in the northern Midwest. Volume was heavy Friday with 121,596 soybean futures traded, 48,352 soybean oil traded and 50,888 meal traded. Funds were buyers of an estimated 5,000 soybeans, 2,000 meal and 1,000 oil. Today’s early opening calls are based upon the overnight trade which rallied the November contract an additional 16 ½ cents. Volume overnight was heavy as traders concerns that the Frost was widespread. There are still some soybeans that might be vulnerable and any reduction in soybean yields would only add to an already tight supply. South American analyst Agroconsult on Friday forecast Brazil’s 2007/08 soybean production at a record 62.3 mil. mt. up 6.4% from 58.6 mmt. in 2006/07. Exports of Malaysian palm oil products for September 1st. through the 15th. rose 2.2 percent. Reports this morning of significant crop reduction in major growing regions of China due to severe drought. Overnight Chinese Soybeans, meal and oil closed higher. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed higher. Opening calls: Beans 15 to 17 higher, Meal $ 4.00 to $5.00 higher, Oil .25 to .30 higher. -- The Commitment of Traders report with Options as of September 11 shows Funds: Soybeans Long 110,424 up 2,805 Meal Long 57,294 up 3,510 Oil Long 48,861 up 1,476-- Dalian Soybean futures sharply higher, Jan 91 yuan higher, May 84; Soymeal higher Jan 100 yuan/mt higher in Jan, May up 75, Soyoil active May contract 140 yuan/mt higher -- Funds Friday buying 5,000 Soybeans, 2,000 Meal, 1,000 Oil. -- eCBOT Vol. 82,344; Pit Vol. 35,423; Open Interest Change: +6,447 -- 6-10 Day Forecast: Above Normal Temps. Above Precip West, Below Precip East. -- Outside markets. Energy: crude, products lower, nat gas higher ; Gold & Silver: higher; US $ lower vs Euro & Yen. Cash Markets --CIF Soybeans steady off 4. Sept. +20 to +28, LH Sept. +?? to +32, Oct. +31 to +37, Nov. +45 to +50, Dec. +38 to +50, Jan. +46 to +50, Feb. +20 to ??, Mar. +33 to +38 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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