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Linn Group Morning Corn CommentCHICAGO - Sep 12/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning corn futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Corn ended on the defensive on Tuesday down 4 ¾ cents. Traders say bearish factors include an improvement in weekly crop progress, Brisk harvest pace and expectations USDA on Wednesday will raise its U.S. corn crop estimate from the current 13.054 billion bushels, already a record. Volume was moderate with 155,419 contracts traded. Funds sold an estimated 5,000 contracts. Today the USDA released the monthly crop production report showing Corn production is forecast at 13.3 billion bushels, up 2 percent. Based on conditions as of September 1, yields are expected to average 155.8 bushels per acre, up 3.0 bushels from August and 6.7 bushels above last year. This is above analyst expectations for production 13.054 bil. bu and expected yield of 153.7. In other news a Chinese govt. researcher says China is unlikely to continue to export large amounts of corn due to increasing demand. A study released by the Energy information Administration says that a 25% requirement for renewable motor fuels would significantly increase the use of Corn in Ethanol production leading to sharply higher corn prices as well. Overnight Chinese Corn futures closed higher. Post Report Opening Calls: 3 to 5c lower Top News **US Sept Corn 07/08 Carryout: 1.675 bln bu. ; est. 1.53; Aug Rpt 1.516 **US Sept Corn 06/07 Carryout: 1.142 bln bu. ; est. 1.13; Aug Rpt 1.137 **US Sept Corn 07/08 Crop Prod: 13.308 bln bu.; est. 13.13 bln bu.; Aug Rpt 13.054 **US Sept Corn 07/08 Yield: 155.8 bu/ac; est. 153.7 bu/ac; Aug Rpt 152.8 bu/ac **World 07/08 Corn Carryout: 105.4 mmt; Aug Rpt 102.2 **Sept China 07/08 Corn Output: 147.0 mmt; Aug Rpt 148.0 **Sept Argentina 07/08 Corn Output: 22.50 mmt; Aug Rpt 24.0 **Sept S Africa 07/08 Corn Output: 10.50 mmt; Aug Rpt 10.5 -- USDA Ag Secretary Johanns says acreage in the CRP 10 year program might be released. He said a decision would come in 60 to 90 days. -- South Korea bought 55,000 mt. US or South American non Gmo Corn for Nov. -- Taiwan passed on tender for 29,000 mt. US Corn ans 16,000 mt. Soybeans for Oct/Nov. -- CBOT Deliveries: Corn 1,599 -- Dalian Corn futures higher in overnight trade. -- eCBOT Vol: 106,672; Pit Vol.: 41,658; Open Interest change: +6,472 -- Weather: Normal to Above Temps. Below Normal Precip. The Corn Belt looks dry today and Thursday. -- Outside markets. Energy complex higher; Gold & Silver: both lower; US $ lower vs Yen & record low vs Euro. Cash Markets -- CIF Corn steady up 2. Sept. +54 to +57, LH Sept. +60 to +62,Oct. +63 to +66, Nov. +63 to +67, Dec. +62 to +64, Jan. +46 to +?? J/F/M +48 to +50 If you have any questions or want to discuss specific trade recommendations, contact me directly. Jim Riley Linn Group 877-787-6278 jriley@linngroup.com www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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