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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Sep 11/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. November soybeans closed up 12 ¾ cents on Monday. This was a new high close for the recent move and traders say the market is now positioned to go after the July Highs of 949 ½ for the November contract. Volume was moderate to heavy with 93,647 soybean contracts traded, 42,347 oil and 53,952 meal. Traders say the market opened little better than expected with funds early buyers of 2,500 contracts and a constant bid under the market kept beans higher all day. Funds were active buyers buying a net 5,000 beans, 2,000 oil and 1,500 meal. Traders say they expect a quiet trading session in advance of tomorrows very important crop production numbers. Overnight soybeans ended the session down 3 cents. Yesterday after the close the USDA released the weekly crop progress report showing soybeans rated 56% good to excellent. A Chinese think tank cut it’s 2007 soy crop forecast by 9.8% to 14.4 mmt due to drought conditions in China. A cold spell is moving through the upper Midwest has some areas looking at possible frost. Canola futures reached new highs on Monday despite harvest pressures. Funds were active buyers buying an estimated 500 to 1,000 contracts. Statscan released their crop report saying canola stocks were 1.82 million mt., compared to trade estimates ranging from 1.2 to 1.7 million mt., and averaging 1.4 million mt. Overnight Chinese soybean, meal and oil futures closed higher. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed higher. Early opening calls: beans down 2 to 3 cents, Oil steady to .05 higher and meal $ 1.00 to $ 1.50 lower. Top News **StatsCan Canola Stocks July 31: 1.82 mln mt; expected 1.4 mln mt -- USDA releases its monthly crop production & supply/demand figures Wednesday at 7:30 AM -- Wednesday France's ag crop forecaster, ONIC, will release its crop production estimates & supply demand monthly forecast. -- EU grains crop forecasts & supply demand figures will be released on Thursday by Strategie Grains analysis firm -- Monday's Weekly Soybean conditions: 56% good to excellent; 27% fair. 32% dropping leaves vs 25% 5 yr avg. -- Monday's USDA Soybean Export Inspections: 5.823 mln bu.; prev week 12.049 -- August Chinese Soybean imports pegged at 2.9 mln mt, a decline of 3% from same month year ago, according to customs data -- Dalian Soybean futures higher overnight; active soymeal & soyoil futures higher in overnight trade -- Malaysian Palm futures ended unchanged from yesterday at 2,500 ringgit -- Deliveries: Soybeans 1,539; Oil 950; Meal 413 -- eCBOT Vol. 66,993; Pit Vol. 21,900; Open Interest Change: -594 -- Weather: Above Temps West, Below East. Below Normal Precip. Most of the Corn Belt looks dry today and Wednesday. -- Outside markets: Energy complex: crude lower, products lower; Gold & Silver both higher; US $ lower vs Euro, slightly higher vs Yen Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans up 1 to 4. Sept. +9. to +120, LH Sept. +14 to +23, Oct. +22 to +32, Nov. +40 to +50, Dec. +38 to +42, Jan. +45 to +52, Feb. +25, Mar. +25 to +40 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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