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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Sep 7/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybeans ended Thursdays session on the defensive down 10 ½ cents in the November contract. After breaking 15 cents early buyers surfaced to rally beans to unchanged before selling off late in the session. Traders say talk that the USDA may raise its US soybean production estimate in its report due out next Wednesday is pressuring the market. Also heavy deliveries in the September contract are pressuring the market. Volume on Thursday was lighter than the past few sessions with 96,533 soybeans traded, 44,790 oil traded and 53,703 meal traded. Funds sold an estimated 5,000 soybeans, 1,000 meal and 2,500 oil. Today the USDA released the weekly export sales for soybeans at 432,000 mt vs expectations of 400,000 to 700,000 mt. Informa released their crop production estimate for soybeans production of 2.664 bil. bu. with a yield of 42.1 bpa. November soybeans ended the evening session on the defensive down 5 ¼ cents. Philippine buyers passed on 7,000 mt of soybeans and opted to buy 16,000 mt of sorghum instead due to high meal prices. Chinese soybean crushers are running high capacity which should help demand despite China’s tight import controls on US and Argentina beans. Overnight Chinese soybeans, meal and oil futures closed higher. Malaysian palm oil futures closed flat in quiet trade. Early Opening Calls: beans 3 to 5 lower, meal $1.00 to $1.50 lower, Oil .10 to .15 lower. Top News **USDA Soybeans 07/08 Export Sales Net: 432,000 mt; expected 400,000-650,000 **USDA Soybean Meal 06/07 Export Sales Net: 33,100 mt; 07/08 Export Sales Net: 48,800 mt; expected 75-175,000 **USDA Soybean Oil 06/07 Export Sales Net: 41,900 mt; 07/08 Export Sales Net: mt; expected 5-20,000 -- Dalian Soybean futures higher in active contracts overnight. Soymeal active futures contracts higher, soyoil futures lower. -- Malaysian Palm marked time, closing only 1 ringgit higher. -- Monday Malaysia palm August production, export & endings stocks to be released. -- Both Malaysian cargo analysts, Intertek & SGS, will release export figures for first 10 days of Sept on Monday. -- eCBOT Vol. 72,326; Pit Vol. 22,711; Open Interest Change: +140 -- Weather: Normal to Below Temps. Normal Precip. The Corn Belt will see scattered showers and thunderstorms today into Sunday. -- Outside markets. Energy complex lower; Gold & Silver: both higher; US $ lower vs both Euro & Yen after jobless data release Cash Markets --CIF Soybeans steady. Sept. +10. to +16, LH Sept. +20 to +25, Oct. +30 to +35, Nov. +42 to +52, Dec. +38 to +42, Jan. +42 to +50, Feb. +30, Mar. +25 to +40 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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