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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Sep 5/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybean futures posted a strong rally on Tuesday on the back of a limit up day in Wheat. Beans opened 12 cents higher and immediately rallied another 10 cents in early trade and continued to rally before selling off late in the session to end 25 cents higher in the November contract. As wheat continues to surge into new all time highs livestock producers continue to shy away from high priced wheat as a feedstuff increasing demand for soybean meal worldwide traders say. Also supportive is dryness in the southern Midwest and delta as concerns of low yields in those regions continue. Volume on Tuesday was heavy, soybeans traded 160,019 contracts, oil 59,336 and meal 74,514 contracts traded. Funds were more aggressive buyers Tuesday, buying an estimated 6,500 beans, 3,000 meal and 2,500 Oil. Early calls will be for a stronger open again today as the overnight trade indicates. Wheat was once again limit up on a relatively heavy overnight trade. Beans ended the evening session up 5 ¼ cents. Yesterday after the close the USDA released their weekly crop conditions report showing soybeans rated 56% good to excellent vs. 55% last week and 59% last year. Traders say these numbers are becoming less and less significant as harvest is starting and traders focus will turn more to more real yield reports and harvest progress. Crop Cordonnier raised his soybean yield ½ bu. per acre to 41.0 bpa. Reports of freight rate increases are rampant with barge freight up sharply and Ocean freight rates rising. China’s northeast region continues to experience the worst ever drought and expects this situation to have a big impact on soybean output in that area. Overnight Chinese soybeans traded lower, Malaysian palm oil futures ended higher. Opening calls: Soybeans 5 to 7 cents higher, Meal $1.00 to $2.00 higher. Oil .20 to .30 higher. Top News -- USDA conditions report showed Soybeans 56% good to excellent vs. 55% last week and 59% last year. -- Dalian Soybean futures lower overnight; soymeal lower, Jan 1 yuan lower & May futures very active volume 16 yuan lower; soyoil Jan futures 16 yuan lower. -- Malaysian Palm futures ended higher, Nov contract was 36 ringgit higher, as eCBOT soyoil futures help support prices -- CBOT Deliveries: Soybeans 1,546 -- CBOT Deliveries: Meal 301 -- CBOT Deliveries: Oil 724 -- eCBOT Vol. 108,082; Pit Vol. 42,510; Open Interest Change: +3,477 -- Weather: Normal to Below Temps. Normal to Above Precip. The Corn Belt is forecast to see scattered showers and thunderstorms today into Sunday. -- Outside markets: Energy complex: crude +10c,; Gold -$2.60 & Silver 17c lower; US $ higher vs Euro, lower vs Yen Cash Markets --CIF Soybeans off 2 to 7. Sept. +Opt. to +15, LH Sept. +5 to +20, Oct. +25 to +33, Nov. +40 to +55, Dec. +35 to +46, Jan. +40 to +50, Feb. +30, Mar. +25 to +35 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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