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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Sep 4/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. November beans opened up into new highs for the month on Friday but ended the session on their lows down 2 ½ cents for the day. For the week November beans ended up 17 ½ cents and ended the month 25 cents higher. Soybeans did end the month higher, more importantly they ended 90 cents off the lows of the month. Dry weather in the Delta and southern Midwest remain a concern and the forecasts don’t call for much help this week. Also boosting soybean prices is a surging wheat market as that market continues to trade higher into new all time highs. Volume in Soybeans on Friday was moderate to heavy with 118,883 soybean futures contracts traded, 49,266 oil and 56,325 meal traded. Funds on Friday sold an estimated 1,000 beans, 500 meal and even in oil. Overnight grain prices soared higher with December wheat limit up (30 cents) and beans up 13 ¼ cents. For beans the rally is centered around Malaysia sealing a deal to import 20,000 mt. of US beans and importers are looking for another 90,000 mt. between October and December sources say on Tuesday. Also boosting prices is a tender by India to buy 795,000 mt. of Wheat instead of 500,000 that was originally tendered. Wheat overnight was up limit up. Friday the USDA released the commitment of traders report showing funds long 101,084 beans, up 16,056 Meal long 45,949 up 6129 and oil long 24,840 down 31. The supplemental report showing index funds shows funds long 152,234 beans up 1290. Deliveries in beans remain heavy with 1,555 throughout 8/31/07 ADM put out 753. Overnight Chinese Soybeans, meal and oil all closed higher. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed higher. Opening calls. Beans 10 to 13 higher, Oil, .20 to .30 higher and meal $4.00 to $5.00 higher. Top News -- Grain Export Inspections to be released this morning, delayed due to Labor Day holiday. -- USDA Crop Progress report expected at 3pm CDT, delayed due to Labor Day holiday. -- USDA reports private sale of 42,000 mt of US Soyoil to Unknown destination for 06/07 delivery -- Dalian Soybean futures saw gains in overnight trade; 87 Yuan higher in active trade for May 08 contract. Soymeal also higher on very active trade, soyoil also higher -- Malaysian Palm futures higher on gains by eCBOT & Dalian futures. Traders also pointed to expected strong import growth. -- Palm oil exports from Malaysia during August rose 14% vs. July acc. to Intertek a cargo analyst -- Malaysian cargo analyst SGS estimated August palm oil exports rose 16% during August from July -- Commitment of Traders report with Options as of August 28: Soybeans Long 101,084 up 16,056 -- CBOT Soybean Deliveries: 1,555 thru 8/31/07; Soymeal Meal 371 thru 8/14/07; Soyoil Oil 646 thru 8/31/07 -- eCBOT Vol. 74,795; Pit Vol. 38,846; Open Interest Change: -443 -- Weather: 6-10 Day Forecast: Above Temps East, Below West. Above Normal Precip. The Corn Belt will be dry today. -- Outside markets: Energy complex: crude 33c lower, gasoline lower, heating oil higher ; Gold 20c lower & Silver 7c lower; US $ higher vs Euro, lower vs Yen Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans steady up 4. Sept. +10 to +18, LH Sept. +15 to +30, Oct. +32 to +35, Nov. +45 to +52, Dec. +40 to +45, Jan. +42 to +50, Feb. +30, Mar. +30 to +35 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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