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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Aug 15/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybean futures were under pressure Tuesday on wetter, cooler US forecasts and good rains overnight in northern growing areas. November soybeans lost 15 ¾ cents Tuesday as that market struggles to close above the 880 level traders say. The recent rains should boost crop prospects in the heart of the growing regions offsetting any concerns of reduced yields in the south. Forecast maps continue to bring moisture in many portions of the northern half of the Midwest and the market appears ready to discount the lower producing south traders say. Volume was moderate with 94,787 soybeans traded, 43, 720 meal and 44,334 oil traded. Funds were net sellers of 5,000 beans, 4,000 oil and 2,000 meal. Today early calls are for a slightly firmer open with beans called to open a penny or two better following firm overnight trade. Freight rates have been rising which traders say has started to affect demand overseas. Indian vegoil imports for the year are estimated at 5.8 mmt. compared to 6.4 mmt estimated earlier. Current weather patterns are expected to add to bean yields and the 6 to 10 day forecast calls for normal to above normal temps and normal to below normal precipitation. Concerns of continued hedge fund problems could influence markets if liquidation continues. Overnight Chinese Soybean, meal and oil futures closed lower. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed lower. Early Opening Calls: steady/1c higher; soymeal steady, soyoil 10c higher Top News -- Dalian Soybean futures active contracts settled down 2 to 6 yuan lower; Jan soymeal was unchanged, but May 11 yuan higher; Jan soyoil -88 yuan/mt -- Malaysian Palm oil futures settled 1% lower, following Chinese & Chicago markets -- Malaysian palm oil exports for Aug 1-15 pegged at 570,107 mt up 21% from same period in July at 470,320 mt, acc. to Intertek -- eCBOT Vol. 64,631; Pit Vol. 27,621; Open Interest Change: -1,479 -- Weather: Normal to Above Temps. Normal to Below Precip. The Corn Belt will see scattered showers and thunderstorms today -- Outside markets. Energy complex crude 50c higher; products higher; Gold down 3.60 & Silver 30c lower; US $ higher vs Euro, lower vs Yen Cash Markets --CIF Soybeans. Aug. +7 to +12, FH Sept. +13 to +15, LH Sept. +15 to +20, Oct. +21 to +28, Nov. +30 to +35, Dec. +20 to +30, Jan. +25 to +35 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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