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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Aug 9/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybeans gained 15 ¼ cents on Wednesday for the second consecutive higher close. Traders say that weather problems in the southern growing sections are at the forefront of the problems. While rains have been abundant and timely in the northern corn belt southern areas have missed the moisture and double crop bens in the deep south are not doing well. Some report plants giving up and dying and others sayint this will be widespread if not rain over next 5 to 7 days. The problem areas account for approximately 10% of the crop traders say. Volume was on the light side again on Wednesday with an estimated 91,639 beans traded, 46,224 oil traded and 39,204 meal traded. Interesting to note the last 2 rally days in soybeans have been lighter than normal volume. Funds on Wednesday bought an estimated 6,000 soybeans, 3,000 oil and 2,000 oil. Today the USDA released their export sales figures and show Soybeans 06/07 Export Sales Net: 153,300 mt; 07/08 Export Sales Net: 377,100 mt; expected 300,000 - 500,000 mln. Soybean basis levels fell 2 to 7 cents after a steady increase in the last few days. Big selloffs in the stock market overnight on the news of 3 hedge funds in Europe having troubles. The European central bank announced it is selling Euro's and buying dollars today and some traders say the global investment environment could spill over to the agricultural commodity markets today. Overnight Malaysian palm oil futures closed up 1.4% overnight. Chinese soybeans Meal and oil all closed higher overnight. Early Opening Calls: beans 2 to 5c higher. Oil .05 to .15 higher, meal $1.00 to $2.00 higher. Top News **USDA Soybeans 06/07 Export Sales Net: 153,300 mt; 07/08 Export Sales Net: 377,100 mt; expected 300,000 - 500,000 mln. **USDA Soybean Meal 06/07 Export Sales Net: 116,400 mt; expected 50-150,000 **USDA Soybean Oil 06/07 Export Sales Net: 29,600 mt; expected Unch-20,000 -- Slightly higher chance of La Nina conditions in the next couple months forecast by National Weather Service -- CBOT Soybean Deliveries Soybean 796 Soyoil 171 Soymeal 473 -- Dalian Soybean futures higher; soymeal higher; soyoil sharply higher -- Malaysian Palm rose 1.4% overnight -- Cargo analysts, SGS & Intertek, release July Malyasian palm export volumes for Aug 1-10 on Friday. Malaysian palm board releases stocks & production figures of palm oil on Friday-- eCBOT Vol. 60,392; Pit Vol. 27,996; Open Interest Change: -1,882 -- Weather: Above Normal Temps. Below Precip East. Normal to Above West -- Outside markets. Energy: crude $1.30 lower, products down; Gold sharply lower $14.50 & Silver 43 to 45c: ; US $ higher vs Euro, lower vs Yen Cash Markets --CIF Soybeans lower off 2 - 7. Aug. +?? to +6, Sept. +5 to +15, Oct. +18 to +25, Nov. +25 to +35, Dec. +170 to +28, Jan. +26 to +34 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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