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Linn Group Morning Corn CommentCHICAGO - Jul 11/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning corn futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. The corn market moved higher on Tuesday on the back of the gains in the soybeans and the talk of hot/dry weather moving back into the Midwest later next week. The December contract closed almost 7 cents higher, just off its highs. The long term forecast moved a ridge back in to the Midwest in the July 20-24th time frame which is right in the middle of pollination. This forecast is up for debate as some forecasters completely disagree with the ridge coming back in the picture and some have different interpretations of the ridge and where it is going to be located exactly. The bottom line is that current weather is very conducive for crop development but the huge demand for corn by the world means that any weather scare no matter how small, especially during pollination, is going to rally corn. Even if the Midwest remains dry, the cool weather over the next week should not cause any damage. Traders also said the reduction in the crop condition helped support corn prices. Volume was moderate with the funds buying over 6,000 contracts by the end of the day with the market eCBOT market closed slightly lower overnight on a pretty quiet session after the rally yesterday. The December contract was ¾ lower as we continued to see beans rally higher on the possibility of hot/dry weather in a week or so. Traders will keep an eye on the USDA monthly supply/demand report that is released tomorrow before the opening, but it should have a minimal affect on the corn and more important for the wheat. Traders this morning expect a little lower opening with some profit taking after the rally yesterday. Different traders feel the corn crop is made and all we are looking at is how big can the yield be with almost near perfect growing conditions. There will still be your bulls that will want to talk about a hot/dry ridge coming into the Midwest next week, but I think we will have to see more agreement among the weather forecasters or actual heat before the market will take off to the upside. Taiwan was into the US buying corn overnight, 16,000 tones. I would look for more 2 sided trading in the corn market as it will follow beans if that market goes higher, but I wouldn’t buy a higher corn market. Traders will be very carefully watching the weather forecasts, but I think we will have to see actual heat and corn crop damage to chase out the shorts. Remember, commitment of traders showed big spec shorts in the corn market, so any big rally on weather could be exaggerated as traders liquidate their positions. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZCN7 335^4 -2^4 338^0 335^4 ZCU7 344^2 -1^2 346^0 342^2 ZCZ7 356^2 -0^6 358^0 354^2 ZCH8 371^0 0^0 371^4 368^4 Early Opening Calls: steady to 2c lower Top News -- Export News: Marubeni has finalized sale to Taiwan SugarCorp for 29,000 tons of US corn and 16,000 tons of US soybeans, according to traders. -- Dalian Corn futures lower overnight. -- Fund trade mixed Monday. Funds sold 4,500 Corn, Wheat 1,000. Even Oil. Bought 2,500 Soybeans, 1,000 Meal. -- eCBOT Vol: 196,146; Pit Vol.: 55,099; Open Interest change: +3,248 -- Weather: Normal to Below Temps. Normal to below Precip. The Corn Belt will see showers and thunderstorms today and Wednesday -- Outside markets. Energy complex lower; Gold & Silver: higher; US $ lower vs. Euro & Yen. Cash Markets --CIF Corn: July +46 to +48, Aug. +47 to +50, Sept. +45 to +49, Oct. +40 to +42, Nov. +41 to +45, Dec. +45 to +48 TREND: We wanted to take off longs bot earlier this week in the rally today. Suspect we will get a better chance to buy the markets again. If you have any questions or want to discuss specific trade recommendations, contact me directly. Jim Riley Linn Group 877-787-6278 jriley@linngroup.com www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. 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