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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Jul 5/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybeans took a respite from their recent price surge on Tuesday closing 15 ¼ cents lower. Traders say profit taking caused the setback after climbing approximately 60 cents in the previous 2 trading sessions. Traders say overall the market is still bullish especially with the acreage numbers from Fridays report. Tuesdays session opened a little weaker than expected and continued to sell off through the day into the close. Volume was moderate to heavy with an estimated 128,713 soybean futures traded, 51,848 oil futures traded and 53,717 meal traded. Funds sold an estimated 6,000 soybeans, 1,500 oil and 500 meal. Overnight November soybeans traded 11 ¾ cents higher. Traders say the market was oversold on Tuesday and last nights rally was a reaction to that oversold condition. Traders caution that with soybeans and the products near record all time fund length that risk levels are higher and to expect volatility to remain high. Without a lot of new news in the marketplace the focus will remain on weather and the 6 to 10 day forecast calls for normal temperatures and normal precipitation for the corn belt with a potential for showers south, Friday into Sunday. Soybean basis firmed in the export market but not so in the domestic trade. South American soybean basis continues to remain weak losing another 5 cents on Tuesday. Overnight Chinese soybeans and oil closed higher, meal unchanged. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed slightly higher. Opening call: 10 to 12 cents higher soybeans, oil .20 to .30 higher and meal $3.00 to $ 4.00 higher. Top News **USDA Export Sales report will be released on Friday, July 6, 2007, because of the 4th of July holiday. -- Soybean Deliveries: 2,975; Term stopped 37 -- Soyoil Deliveries: 871 -- Soymeal Deliveries: 13 -- Dalian Soybean futures higher active Jan. was +16 yuan/T higher; soymeal unchanged; soyoil higher. -- Malaysian Palm oil futures closed slightly higher. Malaysia palm board members suggest near term demand to quicken by prepurchasing countries that observe Ramadan. -- eCBOT Vol. 72,657; Pit Vol. 52,656; Open Interest Change: -3,357 -- Weather: Normal Temps. Normal Precip. The Corn Belt will see some showers and thunderstorms in south eastern sections today. -- Outside markets. Energy complex higher, NY crude hits 72.08 intraday high highest since Aug 2008; Gold & Silver both higher; US $ lower vs Euro, mixed vs Yen. Cash Markets --CIF Soybeans: FH July Opt. to +3, July Opt to +4, Aug. Opt to +8, Sept. -8 to +8, Oct. +2 to +12, Nov. +15 to +25, Jan. +25 to +34 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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