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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Jun 15/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybeans ended Thursdays session up 4 ½ cents on the heels of a runaway bull market in Wheat. By comparison July soybeans for the week have gained 6 cents while July wheat has gained 79 cents and July corn 27 cents. Some traders say that with this weeks action in soybeans that this could be the calm before the storm as dry conditions could become an issue if they persist. Open interest is starting to shift in beans from July to November as front month is now considered November. Volume on Thursday was heavy with an estimated 141,579 soybean futures traded 51,956 oil futures traded and 35,488 meal futures traded. Funds bought an estimated 4,000 soybeans, 3,000 oil and even in meal. Today’s focus will center around weather again traders say. Concerns about dry weather in the eastern Midwest stressing young soybean plants and slowing emergence have been responsible for rallying prices. Today’s call are for higher prices led higher by expected gains in soyoil. Soyoil and palm oil futures found spillover support from Thursday's strong close in crude oil. Crude oil this morning is trading 28 cents higher and should lend support. Sellers of palm and lauric oils withdrew from the European vegetable oils market on Friday after Indonesia raised its export tax. Overnight Chinese soybean futures closed mixed, meal lower, oil higher. Early Opening Calls: 4 to 5c higher; soymeal 50 to 70c higher; soyoil 30 - 40c higher. Top News -- Drought could cost Ukraine as much as 10 million tons, 26.3% of their estimated 38 million ton grain harvest this year, the country's Prime Minister said. -- US Department of Agriculture's Gale Buchanan, is in Brazil discussing ehtanol research cooperation focusing on cellulosic ethanol, between the two countries. -- Dalian Soybean futures settled mixed. Soymeal settled mostly lower, soyoil had good gains overnight. -- Malaysian Palm futures followed overnight energy complex, Chinese & eCBOT soyoil futures higher, rising 1.7% -- Funds aggressive Thursday buying 4,000 Soybeans, 3,000 Oil.-- eCBOT Vol. 89,601; Pit Vol. 48,383; Open Interest Change: +977 -- Weather: Normal to Above Temps. Normal Precip. The Corn Belt will be mostly dry with only a few scattered showers in the west today. -- Outside markets. Energy complex crude lower; gasoline mixed; Gold & Silver higher; US $ lower vs Euro, higher vs Yen Cash Markets --CIF Soybeans: June +1 to +8, July +5 to +10, Aug. Opt. to +10, Oct. +5 to +15, Nov. +16 to +25, Jan. +22 to +30 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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