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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Jun 14/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybeans struggled on to rally on Wednesday in spite of a surge in wheat prices. Wheat up 24 ½ cents after spending much of the session at limit up while soybeans ended the day down ¾ cent. Corn gained strength from the wheat rally but beans were being pressured by a large sell-off in Malaysian palm oil overnight. Concerns about China possibly raising interest rates and a rise in Palm Oil margins are pressuring the Palm oil market after surging to 8 year highs. The strongest of the complex was soybean meal as July Meal closed .80 higher. Volume was heavy with an estimated 149,658 soybean futures traded, 70,464 soybean oil futures traded and 42,005 soybean meal futures traded. Funds sold an estimated 1,000 soybeans, 2,500 oil and even in meal. Weekly export sales released this morning show soybean sales of 351,600 mt. two and one-half times the previous week's marketing-year low and 51 percent over the prior 4-week average. Analysts were looking for sales of 150,000 to 250,000 mt Meal sales were 78,300 mt of U.S. soymeal (old and new crop) sold for export last week, within the range of estimates for 50,000 to 125,000 mt. The NOPA crush was released today at 143.35 mil. bu. which was in line with analysts estimates of 144 mil bu. Traders say the soy complex is mostly a follower at this point, getting its cue from palm oil. Overnight Malaysian palm oil was slightly higher and bean oil closed in line with that up 15. Beans ended the evening session higher, July soybeans gained 5 ¼ cents overnight. Weather remains a concern as traders continue to talk about dry weather in the eastern Midwest crop region. Updated forecasts call for normal temperatures and normal precipitation for most of the corn belt. Early Opening Calls: Soybeans 4 to 5c higher, Meal $1.00 to $2.00 higher and oil .10 to .15 higher. Top News **USDA Soybeans 06/07 Export Sales Net: 221,700 mt; expected 150-200,000 **USDA Soybean Meal 06/07 Export Sales Net: 68,700 mt; expected 50-150,000 **USDA Soybean Oil 06/07 Export Sales Net: 21,300 mt; expected Unch-10,000 **NOPA May Soybean Crushings: 143.35 mln bu vs Apr 138.72 mln bu **NOPA May Soybean Exports: 400,474 mln T vs Apr 451,801 -- High palm prices causes expansion plans in Singapore to be suspended and contemplation to halt production by biodiesel producers according to a Malaysian biodiesel producer. -- Sunoil exports from Russia dropped to 73,100 tons,a -17.7% fall in April from March, and -22.2% from the same time last year. -- Poland's rapeseed crop could hit a record 2 million tons for 2007 with grain totaling around 27.5 million tons, according to the Grain Chamber. -- Private South Korean firm announces the purchase of 100k tons of soybeans from China for delivery in 2008, acc. to a company source -- China's retail sales for grain and edible oil up 35% and meat,eggs, & poultry are up 38.8% since May of last year according to the country's National Bureau of Statistics. -- Dalian Soybean futures higher; soymeal mostly higher; soyoil higher overnight. -- Funds Sold 1,000 Soybeans, 2,500 Oil. Even Meal. -- eCBOT Vol. 97,400; Pit Vol. 53,206; Open Interest Change: -283 -- Weather: Normal Temps. Normal Precip. The western Corn Belt will see showers and thunderstorms today and Friday -- Outside markets. Energy complex higher; Gold & Silver: lower; US $ higher vs Euro & Yen Cash Markets --CIF Soybeans: June -3 to +3, July -3 to +5, Aug. -2 to +8, Oct. Opt. to +15, Nov. +10 to +20, Jan. +22 to +30 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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