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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Jun 7/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. July soybeans closed 6 cents lower after making new contract highs overnight Wednesday night. The Market was pressured by a sell-off in palm oil in Malaysia and an overall overbought situation in the soy complex. Traders say they are not surprised by the break with soybeans making 2 ½ year highs and with bean oil near 23 year highs. Some traders say that yesterdays action in palm oil could signal a key reversal with the market trading up 2% only to end down 3%. Volume was heavy on Wednesday with an estimated 137,892 soybeans, 51,720 Oil and 50,575 meal futures traded. Funds sold an estimated 4,000 soybeans, 1,000 meal and 3,000 oil. Overnight July soybeans traded 3 cents lower, oil slightly lower and meal slightly higher. Traders say they are looking for some stability in the bean complex after yesterdays sell off. Overnight trade in palm oil was higher and should help calm fears. Today’s export sales were weaker than expected with the USDA announcing net soybean sales at 202,200 mt for 06/07 and 25,000 mt for 07/08. Analyst range of expectations was quite a bit higher a 250,000 to 400,000 mt. Weather has remained favorable for crop development, but there are concerns about dryness in the eastern Midwest. Overnight Chinese Soybeans and meal traded lower. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed mixed to mostly higher. Early Opening Calls: 3 to 5c lower; soymeal 50c to $1; soyoil 10 - 20c lower Top News **USDA Soybeans 06/07 Export Sales Net: 202,200 mt; 07/08 Export Sales Net: 25,000 mt; expected 250-400,000 **USDA Soybean Oil 06/07 Export Sales Net: 2,500 mt; expected Unch-10,000 **USDA Soybean Meal 06/07 Export Sales Net: 127,300 mt; expected 50-150,000 -- Goldman Sachs Index roll begins today. Index funds tried to jump ahead of tomorrows Goldman Roll as Fimat, RJO, UBS and Rand all bought Nov and sold July. -- To subsidize local cooking oil REA Holdings' chairman said company will have to sell up to 10% of its palm oil at a discounted price of $630/ton. -- By June 1st soy producers in Brazil had sold 67% of their new crop, up from the 65% that had been sold last week, according to analysts. -- US effort to reduce dependence on foreign oil by emphasizing ethanol production may be misguided, according to head of Alaron USA. -- To offset increased price of grain and energy, General Mills will raise prices slightly on cereal, according to a spokesman. -- Dalian Soybean futures complex lower across the board. -- Malaysian Palm oil futures rose 1% overnight -- Malaysian traders speculate on talk of palm oil board bullish survey showing only slightly higher production figures with a sharp decline in stocks. -- Funds on the day closed net sellers of an estimated 4,500 soybean contracts -- eCBOT Vol. 91,439; Pit Vol. 40,421; Open Interest Change: +427 -- Weather Above Normal Temps. Normal to Above Precip.Scattered showers and thunderstorms will move west to east today into Friday. -- Outside markets. Energy complex crude & gasoline futures higher; Gold & Silver: both lower; US $ higher vs Euro & Yen Cash Markets --CIF Soybeans: June -5 to Option, July Option to +5, Aug. Option to +10, Oct. +10 to +14, Nov. +18 to +26, Jan. +25 to +35 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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