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Linn Group Morning Corn CommentCHICAGO - Jun 6/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning corn futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. The corn market ended mixed on Tuesday as it seems like we had the same type of session that we saw on Monday. The old crop front month was pressured by fund rolls from the July into the September and December contract and the back months being held up by weather concerns in the front of huge demand. Option trade also helped push old crop futures lower as we had big selling in calls and another firm buying puts, both bearish scenarios. The Goldman Roll starts tomorrow, but it seems that many funds have gotten a jump on the roll as over 40,000 spreads traded electronically yesterday. Volume was moderate to heavy because of this spread action and funds were even on the day. Corn was higher early in the session only to drop later in the day as traders finally decided that rain is good for corn and negative futures prices. Weather remains a huge factor in corn futures prices, especially as traders are watching conflicting weather forecasts and demand remains very strong. No new news in the corn market and traders await the release of export sales tomorrow morning. eCBOT market was higher overnight on continued talk of the possibility of hot/dry weather in the future which seems to be overriding the current weather pattern that is bearish corn. The corn market is not the leader right now in the grain complex as we continue to see soybeans rally and traders unwilling to sell the corn market. Some traders are using the corn as the short side of inter-commodity spreads vs. beans and wheat. The experienced grain trader thinks that corn is a sell today, but nobody is willing to step out and sell the market because long term, they are bullish corn, and any hint of weather problems could propel the corn market into new highs. Remember, there is a weather premium built into the corn price right now, not a weather scare. That may seem like semantics, but there is a big difference because a weather scare could push the corn market higher and never look back. I would expect to see the corn market to open unchanged, a little higher but the old crop to come under pressure from the spreads as we continue to see spreading out of the July and into to the September and December. USDA releases export sales tomorrow morning and traders will be watching the forecast for a better indication of hot/dry weather in coming weeks. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low CN7 382^0 1^6 384^0 379^2 ZCU7 387^2 1^4 389^4 384^4 ZCZ7 385^4 2^6 387^0 381^4 ZCH8 397^4 4^0 397^4 393^0 Early Opening Calls: Top News -- Brazil's gov't June estimate of 06/07 Corn output at 50.7 mln mt down 0.4 mln mt from May's estimate -- Mexico's ag ministry estimates 2007 Corn production 9.1% higher than year ago. 2007 Corn production at 23.8 mln mt -- Top fuel, farming, & policy makers will launch another study on the future of ethanol production in the US; suggest cellulose feedstock's likely to overtake corn; the Hale Group will manage the study, no date was set for the release of the final study. -- More Brazilian ethanol investment on George Soros radar, tells ethanol conference that he plans more investment in that industry -- Brazil ethanol conference told by ADM executive it's still looking for the 'right' investment opportunity in Brazil -- Goldman rolls starts Thursday. -- Dalian Corn futures higher in overnight trade. -- eCBOT Vol: 166,953; Pit Vol.: 62,690; Open Interest change: -8,464 -- Weather: Normal to Above Temps East, Normal to Below West. Normal to Above Precip. -- Outside markets. Energy complex mostly lower; Gold & Silver: both lower; US $ mixed vs. Euro, lower vs. Yen Cash Markets --CIF Corn: June +40 to +42, July +42 to +46, LH July +45 to +48, Aug. +44 to +49, Sept. +40 to +42, Oct. +37 to +40, Nov. +37 to +40, Dec. +42 to ?? TREND: Beneficial weather is negative to corn---just took the market a moment to figure it out. Locals pressing the corn spreads in anticipation of the Goldman roll starting later this week Beans still appear to the least risky length at this time? Oil may be getting tired or meal is just getting started. Not sure which but the spread looks to favor meal for a moment? If you have any questions or want to discuss specific trade recommendations, contact me directly. Jim Riley Linn Group 877-787-6278 jriley@linngroup.com www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. 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