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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Jun 1/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. July soybeans ended down 2 cents on Thursday after a nickel higher open and traded as much as eight higher in early, active trade. After making the highs, values proceeded to break 11 cents in the next fifteen minutes. The last hour of trade the prices broke down again, trading as much as 9 lower late before rallying into the close. Volume was good with an estimated 123,035 soybeans, 41,267 meal and 42,049 oil futures traded. Funds bought an estimated 3,000 soybean futures, 3,000 soybean oil and 2,000 Meal. Today the USDA released the weekly export sales figures Net sales of 345,300 MT were nearly four and one-fifth times the previous week and three and one-tenth times the prior 4-week average. The major buyers were Mexico (127,700 MT), Indonesia (69,900 MT), and China (68,300 MT). This was below analysts expectations of 500,000 to 800,000 mt. Rumors surfacing out of China saying that with Soyoil prices making new record highs in China the government is considering releasing 700,000 mt. of Soyoil reserves into the domestic market. 6-10 Day Forecast: Normal to Below Temps. Normal to Above Precip. The Corn Belt will see scattered showers and thunderstorms today into Monday. Dry weather moves back in Tuesday. Temps normal to above. Overnight Chinese Soybeans closed mixed, meal lower. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed lower on profit taking traders say, Early Opening Calls: 1 to 2c lower; soymeal mixed; soyoil steady Top News **USDA June 1st Weekly Export Sales, Soybeans: 345k tons in 06/07, 347k tons in 07/08, expected = 500k-1.1 mil **USDA June 1st Weekly Export Sales, Meal: 83,600 tons in 06/07, 87,400 tons in 07/08, expected = 50k-125k **USDA June 1st Weekly Export Sales, Bean Oil: 7,600 tons in 06/07, 7,600 tons in 07/08, expected = 0-10k **USDA June 1st Weekly Export Sales, Bean OIl: 7,600 tons in 06/07, 7,600 tons in 07/08, expected = 0-10k **US May Non Farm Payrolls: +157k; expected +130k **US May Unemployment Rate: 4.5%; expected 4.5% -- EIA data shows Ethanol production in March averaged 384,000 bbls down 2,000 bbls from February. -- Brazil's Ag minister seeks govt approval to increase ethanol blending to 25% up 2 percentage points from current blending regulations -- Brazil's CONAB pegs 2007/08 ethanol production at 20 bln liters -- Brazil's CONAB pegs 2007/08 ethanol exports at 3.9 bln liters up 0.5 bln liters from 2006/07 -- BP Australia reached a milestone when it hit 100 million litres of ethanol-blended fuel supplied in Queensland. -- US trade officials: Doha Trade Talks progressing nicely. Despite gains, no consensus yet reached on agriculture between US and European negotiators; calls to move more quickly heard. -- Barge freight rates higher Thursday -- China the government is considering releasing 700,000 mt. of Soyoil reserves into the domestic market to curb high prices. -- Palm oil exports out of Malaysia during May were +3.4% vs prior month May exports totaled 1.18 mln mt, acc. to Intertek -- Malaysian Palm oil exports were 4.7% higher at 1.184 mln mt in May acc. to SGS. -- Dalian Soybean futures mixed at Friday's settlement; lower settlements for soymeal & soyoil -- Malaysian Palm follows eCBOT overnight soyoil futures slightly lower, traders there say profits were locked in after a week of gains. -- eCBOT Vol. 79,356; Pit Vol. 43,965; Open Interest Change: +3,685 -- Weather Normal to Below Temps. Normal to Above Precip. -- Outside markets. Energy complex higher; US $ higher; Gold & Silver: both higher Cash Markets --CIF Soybeans: June +Option to +5, July +4 to +9, Aug. Option to +11, Oct. +10 to +15, Nov. +20 to +30, Jan. +25 to +35 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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