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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - May 10/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. July Soybeans erased the losses of the last 2 trading sessions on Wednesday closing 8 cents higher. It was a quiet session with extremely light volume in comparison to the volumes the past few weeks. An estimated 66,618 soybean futures traded Wednesday, 21,498 meal and 28,334 oil. Traders say improved crop planting weather is at the forefront of the soybean rally as farmers have been able to increase their corn acreage at the expense of soybean acreage this spring due to good planting conditions. Funds bought approximately 3,000 soybeans, 3,000 Oil and 2,000 meal. Weekly export sales released today show net sales of 204,200 mt which was an improvement from the previous week and 6% above the prior 4 week average. Although this was at the lower end of analyst expectations of 200,000 to 350,000 mt. Oil sales were at the lower end of expectations and meal was in line. Traders indicate they expect todays trade to be quiet ahead of Fridays USDA report. Average of analyst estimated for US soybean ending stocks were 606 mil bu for 2006/07 and 336 mil. for 2007/08.Technicians point to a support level of $7.30 and upside resistance of $7.50 for July soybeans and indicate a close above or below these areas should dictate the next move. Overnight Chinese soybeans closed mixed to firm, meal closed flat. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed higher. Monday May 14th is the Last Trading Day for all May-- CHICAGO GRAIN FUTURES ---all May Chicago Grain Markets close at 12:00 Noon, Monday, Chicago Time. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSN7 748^0 0^4 749^2 746^0 ZSQ7 754^2 0^2 754^2 754^2 ZSU7 762^2 1^2 762^2 762^2 ZSX7 777^2 0^0 778^2 775^4 ZMN7 202.0 0.1 202.5 201.5 ZMQ7 204.6 0.0 204.6 204.6 ZLK7 32.84 ZLN7 33.35 0.04 33.46 33.29 ZLQ7 33.52 Early Opening Calls: steady; soymeal steady; soyoil steady to 10c higher Top News **FOMC keeps Fed Fund Target Rate Unchanged at 5.25%; FOMC votes unanimously for leaving Fed Funds target rate unchanged. **USDA May 10th Weekly Soybeans 06/07 Export Sales Net: 204k mmt, expected = 250-350k **USDA May 10th Weekly Soy Oil 06/07 Export Sales Net: 6k mmt, expected = Unch-25k **USDA May 10th Weekly Soy Meal 06/07 Export Sales Net: 69k mmt, expected = 75-150k -- Major news wire services average estimates for the USDA's May 06/07 Soybean ending stocks in a tight range from 606-607 mln bu. vs April's supply/demand report 615 mln. While the surveys for 07/08 ending stocks also show tight estimated range of avg. analyst forecasts between 336-337 mln bu. -- Egypt's GASC subsidiary seeks purchase tender May 15 for 10,000 T soyoil & 10,000 T sunflower oil for LH June shipment, acc to cash traders -- Dalian Soybean futures higher; soymeal mostly higher; soyoil higher -- Malaysian Palm stronger overnight on news of lower stockpiles. -- CBOT May Soybean Deliveries: 934 -- CBOT May Soyoil Deliveries: 24 -- CBOT May Soymeal Deliveries: 338 -- eCBOT Vol. 40,632; Pit Vol. 23,368; Open Interest Change: +1,325 -- Weather: Above Normal Temps. Normal to Above Precip. The Corn Belt will see some scattered showers -- Outside markets. Energy markets higher; US $ lower vs Euro, but higher vs Yen; Gold & Silver: both lower Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans: May Option to +3 , LH May +3 to +5, June +3 to +10, July +12 to +16, Aug. +10 to +18,. Oct. +23 to +26 -- Processors: Decatur -28 Danville -32 Bloomington -30 Gibson City -30 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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