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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - May 4/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group.
Soybeans closed ¾ of a cent lower on Thursday on the heels of a late break
in corn. Traders say corn has resumed its leadership role in the grain
complex and with a new wave of rain forecast for the western corn belt
concerns turn once again to planting progress. Early in yesterdays session
corn rallied 16 ¾ cents after gapping higher taking soybeans with it. At
one point in time yesterday soybeans were a dime higher but could not hold
their gains breaking down in the last hour of the trading session to close
lower on the day. Traders say weather should continue to dominate the trade
for the next several weeks and to get used to this type of volatility. Funds
on Thursday bought 1,000 soybeans, 1,000 oil and even in meal.
Another round of wet weather is due for the western corn belt causing
concern for planting progress. Traders will continue to watch corn for
direction as seedings have been delayed due to wet weather. A Chinese
delegation will sign contracts on May 14th to buy more than 8 mil mt of
soybeans with US exporters, officials said on Thursday at the Chicago Board
of trade, where the signing will take place. Big deliveries against the May
soybean complex Thursday underscores the ample cash supplies traders say.
Spot basis bids for soybeans in the US Midwest were steady to firm on
Thursday. Overnight Chinese Soybean futures closed flat to firm, Meal
higher. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed mixed.
eCBOT Overnight
Contract Last Net Change High Low
ZSK7 732^0 -1^6 735^0 732^0
ZSN7 746^6 -1^0 749^6 745^0
ZSQ7 754^0 -1^4 755^4 753^6
ZSU7 763^0
ZSX7 776^0 -0^6 778^4 773^4
ZMK7 194.3 -0.4 194.7 194.3
ZMN7 200.1 -0.5 201.0 199.8
ZMQ7 203.5 0.2 203.5 203.5
ZLK7 33.05 -0.12 33.19 33.05
ZLN7 33.68 0.05 33.75 33.51
ZLQ7 33.98 0.14 33.98 33.78
Early Opening Calls: 1 to 2c lower; soyoil mixed; soymeal steady to 50c
lower
Top News
-- Japan Ag minister proposes to use up to 10% ethanol, up from the
voluntary 2% blending requirements currently in place.
-- Egypt purchases 12,000 mt of soyoil & 6,000 mt of sunseed oil from Bunge
& Nidera respectively, traders say. Tender allowed for optional origin &
June delivery.
-- S Korean feed assoc member remarks sharply higher shipping costs are
making grain merchandisers double think buying decisions.
-- Traders report Israel buys 7,000 mt of soymeal & 35,000 mt of corn
products (gluten & DDG)
-- Dalian Soybean futures on Holiday
-- July crude palm oil futures fell 0.7% in overnight Malyasian trade
-- eCBOT Vol. 50,615; Pit Vol. 39,108 ; Open Interest Change: -96
-- May Soybean CBOT Daily Deliveries: 1,107; Soyoil NONE; Soymeal 380
-- Outside markets. Energy higher; US $ mixed to lower; Gold & Silver:
higher
Cash Markets
Bean Barge Corn Barge SRW Barge HRW Track
Ill Riv Frt
May -5/+1 N +24/26 N +3/?? N +60/ N
215
June +3/10 N +28/31 N +3/?? N +55/ N
225
July +12/17 N +32/36 N +5/?? N +55/ N
250
Truck Beans Corn Wheat Meal Hi-pro
Oil
Chicago -35 N -0 N -40 N
Toledo -40 N -19 N -50 K
Dec ILL -30 N -5 N -10 N
-200 N
To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me
directly
Nathan T. Smith III
Linn Group
nsmith@linngroup.com
toll free: (877) 787-6278
local: (312) 896-2090
fax: (312) 896-2050
www.linngroup.com/
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