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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Apr 11/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. For the 5th. consecutive session soybeans closed lower down 6 ½ cents in the May contract. May soybeans posted their lowest close since Feb 1st. The market was pressured early by the USDA report released before the open as traders say that the usage numbers were down and South American crop production was up. Also bearish for soybeans is the delay in planting US corn this spring due to cold wet weather. Traders say if you continue to delay corn planting it means more beans. If wheat damage turns out to be as bad as anticipated it means more bean acres. The fundamentals overall are bearish for the Soybeans traders say. Tuesdays volume was heavy with an estimated 162,150 futures traded and 42,618 options traded. Funds sold 3,000 soybeans and bought 5,000 meal and 2,000 oil. Informa economics issued a new 2007 production report, estimating soybean production at 2.852 bil. bu using 67.1 mil acres planted and 66.3 mil acres harvested. Hamburg based Oil world issued a report saying China will likely import more soybeans in the coming year as Chinese farmers cut soybean plantings and switch to more corn production. They also say a global soybean supply deficit is possible in 2007/08 due to lost supplies as US farmers switch to corn. Overnight Chinese soybean and meal futures closed weak. Malaysian palm oil futures closed higher. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSK7 746^6 4^2 748^4 743^4 ZSN7 764^0 3^4 765^2 760^4 ZSQ7 771^0 5^4 771^2 765^4 ZSU7 778^2 5^2 779^2 775^4 ZSX7 792^2 4^6 793^6 788^4 ZMK7 205.5 0.7 205.9 204.8 ZMN7 211.1 0.4 211.6 209.9 ZMQ7 214.3 0.8 215.5 214.3 ZLK7 32.58 0.12 32.75 32.40 ZLN7 33.13 0.11 33.31 32.97 ZLQ7 33.39 0.16 33.42 33.39 Early Opening Calls: 3 to 5c higher; Meal 50c higher; Soyoil 10 to 20c higher Top News -- 2007 US Soybean production estimated at 2.852 bil.bu. by Informa. They expect 66.3 mil. acres harvested of the 67.1 mln acres planted. -- Oil World expects China to import more soybean & soyoil as less acres are devoted to the oilseed & attention turned to planting corn. They expect plantings to fall to 8.6 mln ha, a decline of 0.5 mln ha. -- Reuters is reporting that period charter rates for modern panamax tonnages plying the transpacific route are about $42,000, or about 10% higher than the end of March. - An 8 year, $22.5 mln biofuel research grant given to Iowa State by ConocoPhilips -- eCBOT Vol. 89,663; Pit Vol. 75,916; Open Interest Change: -1,828 -- Weather Normal to Below Temps. Normal to below Precip. the 6 to 10 day shows -- Outside markets. Energy markets slightly higher ahead of weekly stocks report; US $ slightly higher against Euro & Yen ; Gold & Silver higher Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans: Apr. +10 to +14, May. +16 to +19, June +9 to +12. July +14 to +19, Aug. +13 to +20,. Oct. +18 to +25 -- Processors: Decatur -23 Danville –23 Bloomington –25 Gibson City –20 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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