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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Apr 9/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybeans ended the week last week unchanged from the previous day in both May and Nov. A narrow 7 ½ cent range was the highlight in a quiet 2 sided trade. Oil has been the strength in the soybean complex but failed to spark any enthusiasm losing 15 to 18 cents lower and meal unchanged. Fund activity was light on Thursday as well, with funds ending the session selling 1,000 oil, even in soybeans and meal. The focus today is centered around some serious freeze damage to wheat and corn over the long Easter holiday weekend. The cold weather was widespread and plunging into the southern states. Traders say the extent of the damage will not be know for weeks. They say that the corn acres that are a total loss will get replanted. All of this has corn and wheat prices sharply higher overnight and soybeans caught up in the price rise up over 9 cents overnight. The long term effect of all this could be that soybeans benefit from an increase in planted acres if farmers have to replant. Tuesday Morning the USDA will release a monthly supply and demand report. This afternoon the USDA will release the first corn planting progress today and could be the first indication of how things are going. Malaysian Palm oil futures jumped more than 1% last night to a new eight year high. Overnight Chinese soybean, meal and oil futures closed unchanged. eCBOT Overnight: Contract Last Change High Low ZSK7 769^6 9^2 775^0 765^2 ZSN7 785^2 8^0 790^6 780^4 ZSQ7 795^0 12^0 797^0 790^0 ZSU7 800^0 10^0 805^0 798^0 ZSX7 814^0 9^2 819^0 807^0 ZMK7 215.6 2.6 217.8 214.4 ZMN7 221.1 2.7 223.4 219.8 ZMQ7 224.1 3.1 224.1 224.1 ZLK7 32.62 0.20 33.00 32.51 ZLN7 33.19 0.26 33.53 33.05 ZLQ7 33.45 0.27 33.45 33.45 Early Opening Calls: 7 to 10 cents higher, Oil 20-30c higher, Meal $2-3 higher. Top News: -- Average estimates for Tuesday’s USDA supply and demand report: Soybeans 586 vs. 595 in March and 449 last year. -- Overnight, Malaysian palm oil contracts rose +1.1% to $619/ton, an over 8 year high, on CBOT futures strength -- Outside Markets: Gold trading higher $673.00 up .90, The Dollar is trading steady vs. the Yen and Euro. Crude down 37 cents to $63.91. -- Funds aggressive in Corn and wheat Friday buying 6,000 Corn and 3,000 Wheat. Funds Sold 1,000 Oil. Even Soybeans, Even Meal. -- Soybean spreads: JPM 800 SK/SN, ABN 800 SK/SN, Term 800 SK/SN, Fimat 1,600 SK/SN. Cash Markets: CIF Soybeans: Apr. +10 to +14, May. +14 to +19, June +7 to +12. July +11 to +20, Aug. +12 to +20,. Oct. +22 to +25 River house weaker STL off 4 at –16, Morris IL. River off 5 at –34, Havana off 5 at –34. Processors: Decatur -23 Danville –23 Bloomington –25 Gibson City –20 Board Crush Margins: May 64.72 off 1.59 July 65.46 off 1.04 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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