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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Apr 5/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. May soybeans closed 2 ¾ cents lower on Wednesday in spite of 13 cent higher close in Corn and 12 ¼ cent higher close in Wheat. Traders say the weather is bearish beans and bullish corn. Volume was moderate to heavy with an estimated 102,701 soybean futures traded and 20,392 options traded. Funds sold an estimated 3,000 soybeans, 1,000 meal and bought 2,500 oil. The attention has now turned to weather now that the USDA planting intention report is behind us. The concern now is that due to the wet, cold weather farmers may abandon some corn plantings to grow soybeans and that could lead to a larger 2007 US soybean crop. Thus making this current weather situation, bearish beans, bullish corn. Traders say the window to sow the corn crop is from roughly early April through mid-May to realize maximum yield potential. If the corn does not get planted due to bad weather the farmer will plant beans. This morning weekly export sales released were below analysts estimates at 259,000 and the range of expectations was 300,000 to 600,000. Chinese soybean futures closed unchanged. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed lower. Early calls are 1 to 2 higher eCBOT Overnight: Contract Last Change High Low ZSK7 763^4 2^4 764^0 760^2 ZSN7 779^2 1^4 780^0 776^4 ZSQ7 784^4 ZSU7 790^0 ZSX7 807^4 2^2 808^2 804^6 ZMK7 213.4 0.2 213.5 212.1 ZMN7 218.8 0.6 218.8 217.5 ZMQ7 221.0 ZLK7 32.65 0.08 32.69 32.52 ZLN7 33.22 0.11 33.22 33.11 ZLQ7 33.38 0.04 33.38 33.38 Early Opening Calls: 1 to 2 cents higher. Top News: **USDA Weekly Export Sales 4/5, Soybeans: 259k, expected = 300k=350k **USDA Weekly Export Sales 4/5, Soybean Meal: 121.7k expected = 75k=125k **USDA Weekly Export Sales 4/5, Soybean Oil: 13.8k, expected = 0-10k -- US Census Bureau sees Feb US soybean oil stocks at 3.284 bil lbs, +3.2% over last month's revised number -- '06'07 Indian Soymeal Exports reach 3.6 mil tons, +5.88% higher than last year, acc. to SEA of India -- '06'07 Indian Oilmeal Exports reach 5.2 mil tons, +18.2% higher than last year, acc. to SEA of India -- CONAB: Brazilian soybean production seen reaching 58 mil tons, +2.3% from previous estimates -- Malaysian palm oil dipped -1.2% to $606/ton on profit-taking after record price levels seen -- Funds sold an estimated 3,000 contracts of soybeans Wednesday. -- Soybean spreads: Term 500 SN/SX, Abn 500 SN/SX, Tenco 400 SK/SN, FCs 700 SK/SN -- Outside markets: Gold trading higher $673.00 up .90, Crude Oil trading slightly higher $64.42 up .04, Dollar steady, Chinese ag futures unchanged Cash Markets: CIF Soybeans: Apr. +15 to +19, May. +17 to +20, June +7 to +12. July +11 to +20, Aug. +12 to ??. Oct. +22 to +26 River house steady weak STL off 2 at –12, Morris IL. River steady at –27, Havana off 2 at –28. Processors: Decatur -23 Danville –23 Bloomington –25 Gibson City –20 Board Crush Margins: May 66.31 up 2.09 July 66.50 up 2.09 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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