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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Apr 4/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybeans gave back most of Mondays gains closing down 15 ½ cents. Traders say the decline was on talk that a sharper drop in the price of corn than soybeans since the USDA report last Friday could entice farmers to switch some of their corn acres to soybeans. Soybeans opened lower and spent the rest of the session with an orderly decline. Both Meal and oil ended lower as well. Crude oil was lower on easing tensions in the Middle East adding to the weakness in the soybean oil market. Volume was heavy with an estimated 106,893 soybean futures traded down from Mondays record volume of 211,763 futures traded. Funds were active once again selling 6,000 soybeans, 4,000 meal and 4,000 Oil Traders say weather will begin to be a factor in all of this very soon. Current Midwest weather calls for wet, very cold conditions, preventing good drying and potential planting delays. Corn Planting in the Midwest is off to a slow start due to the cold, wet weather and that could lead to more soybean plantings. Talk today of weakening soybean oil basis levels in Illinois. Soybean basis levels were mostly steady in the Midwest and movement of soybeans is slow according to grain merchants. As long as futures prices are falling farmers will be discouraged from selling. Overnight Chinese soybeans closed higher and meal mixed. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed higher. CBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSK7 770^4 6^6 771^2 762^6 ZSN7 786^0 5^4 786^4 778^6 ZSQ7 786^0 ZSU7 795^0 2^0 795^0 795^0 ZSX7 813^2 6^0 814^0 806^6 ZMK7 215.9 1.4 216.0 214.2 ZMN7 220.9 1.5 220.9 219.4 ZMQ7 222.4 ZLK7 32.66 0.29 32.67 32.33 ZLN7 33.20 0.27 33.20 32.88 ZLQ7 33.16 Early Opening Calls: 5 to 6c higher; Soymeal $1.50 to $2.00 higher; Soyoil 25 - 50c higher Top News -- Heavy rains delay Argentine crop harvests: only 11% of soybean acres harvested (+1% more than last week, -10% behind last year), acc. to the BAGE -- Brazilian soybean harvest picked up the pace a bit, +9% over last week to 60% harvested; this is +12% faster than last year, acc. to Celeres -- Brazil soy exports down to 2.05 mil tons in March; this represents a -23% decline from similar time last year -- Funds Tuesday sold 6,000 Soybeans, 4,000 Meal, 4,000 Oil. -- Malaysian Palm: set new 8 yr higher at $612/T a price that hasn't been touched since 1999. Traders worry over supply slowdown compared to export pace. To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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