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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Apr 3/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybeans rallied and closed 17 ¾ cents higher. After opening weaker in response to the locked limit down corn market Soybeans began a steady price rally mid session through the close. Traders say as the price of corn vs. soybeans relationship widens, it could trigger farmers to switch intended corn plantings back to soybeans. Weather and price will still influence farmer plantings. The weekend rains have left a large portion of the growing areas very wet and more rain is forecast for the next 48 hours. We still need to get these acres all planted and grown and weather and price will greatly affect the actual plantings. Volume was extremely heavy with a record 204,253 soybean futures traded and 37,869 options. Today opening calls are steady to lower as traders focus on consolidation likely at the open after the strong gains on Monday. Overnight, soybeans settled down ¼ cent. Overnight Chinese Soybeans and meal closed higher. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed higher. Brazil Grain analyst Celeres issued a new estimate for Brazil Soybean production at 58.5 mmt vs their previous estimate of 58.0 mmt. Heavy rains have almost totally halted Argentina's 2006/07 soybean harvest and flooded fields in some areas and a significant proportion of plants are under water which could threaten yields, the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange said. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSK7 778^6 -0^2 782^6 775^0 ZSN7 794^0 -1^6 798^0 790^4 ZSQ7 799^0 -2^0 801^0 799^0 ZSU7 807^0 ZSX7 821^0 -0^2 824^4 818^0 ZMK7 218.4 0.1 219.5 218.0 ZMN7 223.3 0.1 224.5 223.1 ZMQ7 226.1 ZLK7 32.76 0.00 32.88 32.62 ZLN7 33.30 -0.07 33.36 33.20 ZLQ7 33.58 Early Opening Calls: steady to lower; Soymeal steady; Soyoil steady to 10c lower Top News -- US Ethanol production in the month of January reaches new record: 375k barrels per day - demand still stronger at 414k, acc. to ethanol industry sources. -- South Korea - US trade deal the largest in 15 years; expected to help meat producers, US/Korean auto industries - although US auto executives say pact falls short of expectations -- Soybean spreads: ABN 1,200 SK/SN, JPM 600 SK/SN, ADM 200 SK/SN -- eCBOT Vol. 145,371; Pit Vol. 61,862; Open Interest Change: +5,005 -- Funds sold 20,000 Corn, 4,000 Wheat. Bought 8,000 Soybeans, 5,000 Meal, 3,500 Oil. -- Weather: Below Normal Temps. Below Normal Precip, 6 - 10 day shows. -- Outside markets: crude oil futures lower; US $ slightly higher vs Euro; higher vs Yen; Gold & Silver lower Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans: Apr. +14 to +18, May. +17 to +22, June +6 to +12. July +9 to +20, Aug. +10 to +15. Oct. +22 to +26 -- Processors: Decatur -25 Danville –30 Bloomington –30 Gibson City –25 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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