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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Mar 9/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. May soybeans posted a 1 ¾ cent higher close after trading in a narrow 8 ½ cent range ahead of todays USDA Crop S&D report. Traders say a combination of follow through technical buying and bigger than expected weekly export sales supported the market. Volume was moderate with an estimated 80,383 soyben futures traded and 13,221 options. Funds bought an estimated 2,500 soybeans, 4,000 oil and sold 1,000 meal. Todays USDA crop supply and demand report shows US Mar Soybean 06/07 Carryout: 0.595 bln bu above the analyst estimate of 589 bil. bu. Feb carryout was 0.595 bil bu. The USDA raised Brazil's soy crop to 57.0 mil mt. from the previous 56.0 mil mt. and left Argentina's crop unchanged at 44.0 million. After the markets closed there was an announcement by the union leader that the truck drivers strike in Argentina had ended. Traders say the USDA report overall is neutral for soybeans and should not have a major impact on the market direction today. Overnight Chinese Soybean, Meal and Oil closed lower. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed flat. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSH7 745^0 0^0 745^0 745^0 ZSK7 762^0 3^0 762^2 756^4 ZSN7 777^2 2^6 777^4 771^6 ZMK7 223.1 2.0 223.1 220.2 ZMN7 228.0 1.9 228.0 225.5 ZLK7 30.61 0.01 30.70 30.45 ZLN7 31.11 0.01 31.15 30.97 Post Report Opening Calls: 1 to 2 cents higher. USDA Report Headlines: **US Mar Soybean 06/07 Carryout: 0.595 bln bu.; est. 0.59; Feb Rpt 0.595 **US Mar Soyoil 06/07 Carryout: 2.664 bln lbs. ; Feb Rpt 2.689 **US Mar Soymeal 06/07 Carryout: 300,000 T ; Feb Rpt 300,000 T **World 06/07 Soybeans Carryout: 57.5 mmt; Feb Rpt 57.40 **World 06/07 Soymeal Carryout: 4.62 mmt; Feb Rpt 4.57 **World 06/07 Soyoil Carryout: 2.71 mmt; Feb Rpt 3.32 **March China 06/07 Soybean Output: 16.2 mmt; Feb USDA Rpt: 16.2 **March Brazil 06/07 Soybean Output: 57.00 mmt; Feb USDA Rpt: 56.00 Top News -- 4.1 million acres expected to exit the USDA' s Conservation Reserve Program: 34% of which is in corn producing regions - results consistent with past re-enrollment figures, acc. to USDA Secretary Johanns -- Informa will release planting estimates Tuesday. -- Soybean spreads: JPM 200 SK/SN, 100 SF/SX, Fortis 100 SH/SK -- China's Ministry of Finance announced today that it will create an agency along the lines of Singapore's Temasek Holdings to manage it's $1.07 trillion in forex reserves. -- Malaysian palm oil futures marked time ahead of market/price forecasts expected at next week's industry meeting Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans: Mar. +9 to +12, Apr. +14 to +16, May. +16 to +18, June +6 to +20. July +12 to +20, Aug. +20 to +28. -- Processors: Decatur -28 Danville –30 Bloomington –30 Gibson City –30 -- Board Crush Margins: Mar. 61.74 off 2.36 May 64.02 off .76 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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