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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Feb 2/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. March Soybeans ended Thursdays session 2 cents higher after making new contract highs. While the market did close higher on the day it gave back much of its gains closing only a penny and a half off the lows. This is the second day in a row that the market has made new highs and closed at or near the low of the days range. Larger than expected export sales for soybeans, meal and oil and concerns about dryness in Argentina lent early support. Thursdays trade rallied in spite of corn which was on the defensive all day. Volume was moderate at 94,524 futures traded and 5,021 options. Funds bought 2,000 soybeans, 2,000 oil and even in meal. Argentine agriculture Secretary said today that Argentina soy crush came in at 32.7 mil mt of soybeans last year up 14% from 2005. Soybean crushing has gron strongly in Argentina since that countrys currency was sharply devalued in 20002 tripling export values measured in Argentina pesos. Little new fundamental news today. China purchased a cargo of Argentine soybeans. Mexico shopping around for US soybeans and talk of Japan interest in purchasing biodiesel. Technicians point to short term liquidation at the contract highs which could explain the market struggling with new contract highs. Traders view support from $7.15 to $7.10 area with overhead resistance at $ 7.50. Overnight Chinese Soybeans meal and oil closed higher. Malaysian palm oil futures closed higher CBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSH7 722^6 1^2 724^0 718^6 ZSK7 738^2 0^6 739^0 734^0 ZSN7 751^2 0^4 752^4 747^6 ZMH7 209.1 1.2 209.1 207.3 ZMK7 214.2 1.3 214.2 212.5 ZMN7 217.5 0.2 218.0 217.5 ZLH7 29.51 -0.07 29.71 29.43 ZLK7 30.00 -0.09 30.19 30.00 ZLN7 30.52 -0.03 30.52 30.46 Opening Calls: 2 to 3c higher Top News -- Argentina reported it's first case of Asian Soybean rust this season. -- Semi Annual cattle inventory at 2pm CT Friday. Expectations for Total cattle & calves are near year ago levels. Herd expansion expectations are below year ago levels. -- S Korea & US back at beef negotiation table next week ahead of bilateral Free Trade Agreement negotiations the following week. S Korea still against linking FTA and beef imports. -- Univ of Illinois-Urbana/Champaign & Univ. of Cal. - Berkley are awarded bio fuel research grants from BP petroleum.-- -- Soybean sales also near trade estimates at 24.9 mil.bu. taking year to date sales to 841 mil.bu vs. 649 mil.bu. last year. -- Funds also sold 5,000 Wheat Bought 1,500 Soybeans, 2,500 Oil. Even Meal. -- Soybean spreads: IA 2,000 SK/SX, 500 SN/SX,ADM 600 SX/SN, 300 SX/SK, JPM 400 SH/SK. To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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