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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Feb 1/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybeans settled a penny and a half lower on Wednesday after trading to new contract highs in the March Contract. Traders say that signs of index funds adding soybean positions have been supportive. Traders also point to a rebounding energy market especially crude oil helping support bean oil prices and increase talk for biodiesel demand. Some support to the soy complex stemming from a bullish canola stocks report release early in Canada with Stats Canada saying canola stocks at the end of 2006 totaling 6.712 mil mt. down 11.1% from 2005 Funds were active buying an estimated 2,500 contracts, sold 1,000 meal and even in meal. Today weekly export sales figure were released today and the USDA reports export sales at 667,700 mt above the range of analyst expectations of 450,000 to 650,000 mt. US soybean export offers fell a few cents a bushel pressured by heavy supplies in the pipeline .US Dec census soyoil stocks were off 10 from last month at 3.065 bil. pounds. US soybeans for March shipment were offered at 33 cents a bushel premium to CBOT March, compared with offers of 25 cents premium in Brazil. Technical traders note that with soybeans in the upper end of the range that a new high close needs to occur in the near term to keep the bullish sentiment. Technicians point to support in the March contract from $7.00 to $7.10 and resistance at $7.30. Overnight Chinese Soybeans, meal and oil closed higher. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed higher. Opening call 2 to 4 cents higher. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSH7 723^0 3^4 725^2 717^4 ZSK7 738^2 3^6 740^0 733^0 ZSN7 752^0 4^2 754^0 746^4 ZMH7 208.3 0.9 209.0 207.0 ZMK7 213.2 0.7 213.9 212.0 ZLH7 29.47 0.13 29.54 29.33 ZLK7 30.00 0.19 30.03 29.86 ZLN7 30.43 0.17 30.43 30.43 Top News **USDA Soybeans 06/07 Export Sales Net: 677,700 mt; expected 450-650,000 **USDA Soybean Meal 06/07 Export Sales Net: 165,500 mt; expected 75-125,000 **USDA Soybean Oil 06/07 Export Sales Net: 37,300 mt; expected 25-30,000 -- US Census Bureau: Dec Soybean Oil Stocks -0.01 bil lbs from Nov, to 3.065 billion lbs, down -0.003 from soy crush report released earlier this month. -- Exports: Taiwan bought 23,000 mt. US Corn and 12,000 Soybeans for Mar. -- The EU commission said the US Farm Bill proposals do not do enough to cut domestic support payments if there is to be a successful outcome to world trade talks. -- CBOT soybean electronic volume was 49,987; pit volume was 46,242. Open interest rose 4,704. Soybean oil open interest rose 2,163 contracts. -- Funds bought 2,500 Soybeans. Sold 1,000 Oil. Even Meal.-- Soybean spreads: Fimat 2,300 SK/SH, JPM 1,000 SK/SH, UBS 500 SK/SH,IA 700 SU/SN -- Barge freight on the Illinois River continues to firm as temps stay cold Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans: Feb. +28 to +30, LH Feb. +30 to +33, Mar. +33 to +35, Apr. +22 to +26, May. +23 to +28, June +24 to +27. -- Processors: Decatur -18 Danville -22 Bloomington -20 Gibson City -20 -- Board Crush Margins: Mar. 59.52 off 2.02 May 60.91 off 1.44 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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