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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Jan 18/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. March Soybeans closed at a new contract high on Wednesday. Volume was large across the soy complex with beans trading an estimated 130,260 futures and 34,720 options. Traders say not only are soybeans working to keep pace with corn which made 10 year highs Wednesday but now there is talk of to much moisture in Northern Brazil and some dryness in Southern Argentina. Traders say Meal was a leader Wednesday gaining $5.70 and setting a new contract high while Oil struggled. Funds were active Wednesday buying 6,000 Soybeans, 4,500 Meal and 4,000 Oil. Overnight, March beans rallied again to end the night session up an additional 7 ½ cents to 729 ½ and early opening calls are in line with that. Technical traders point to a new range now between 750 and 700 for March soybeans. U.S. soybean basis offers held steady on Wednesday despite rallies in futures and slow export demand. Brazil was offering soybeans for April shipment at 8 cents over CBOT May soybeans. Recent rains in Brazil have sparked more outbreaks fo rust but traders say they do not expect a large impact on yields with harvest already under way. Overnight Chinese soybeans, meal and oil futures closed higher. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed lower overnight. Opening call 5 to 7 higher. CBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSH7 729^4 7^4 732^0 722^6 ZSK7 744^0 7^6 749^0 736^2 ZSN7 756^6 6^6 760^0 750^0 ZMH7 215.7 1.9 216.8 213.5 ZMK7 221.0 2.8 222.0 219.2 ZMN7 225.2 3.0 225.2 222.3 ZLH7 29.14 0.17 29.22 28.90 ZLK7 29.46 0.00 29.63 29.46 ZLN7 29.90 0.01 29.91 29.90 Top News **USDA Ag Export Sales delayed until Friday at 7:30 am due to Monday's MLK Holiday -- The Argentine government issued a report raising the area planted to Soybeans to 16.05 mil. hectares vs. the previous estimate of 16.0 mil. -- Funds all on the buy side Wednesday buying 6,000 Soybeans, 4,500 Meal and 4,000 Oil. -- The Chinese government will be holding meetings Friday and Saturday to map out reforms to the financial sector. Analyst look for changes in currency policy that may let the Yuan appreciate more rapidly than in the past. -- Chinese Soybean, Meal, oil and Corn futures closed higher. -- Soybean spreads: ABN 600 SX/SH, IA 500 SH/SN, Tenco 400 SN/SX, Man 400 SF/SX -- Canadian farmers likely to plant 10% more canola acres, 20% more barley - and 11% less wheat and 38% less flax as a result, acc. to analysts Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans: LH Jan. +32 to +36, Feb. +34 to +43, Mar. +38 to +43, Apr. +30 to +38, May. +30 to +40 -- Processors: Decatur -20 Danville –22 Bloomington –15 Gibson City -20 -- Board Crush Margins: Mar. 67.03 up 1.02 May 67.85 up 2.18 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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