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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Jan 11/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. March soybeans ended nearly unchanged after trading to 3 week lows on Wednesday up ¼ cent. Traders say the rally in corn seemed to help Soybeans rally back. Traders note that Soybeans will be supported on corn rallies due to the focus on preventing losing Soybean acreage this spring to corn acres. March soybeans closed at 664 ¾ but broke off their highs of 670 late in the session on what traders report was index fund liquidation in corn. Funds on Wednesday sold 1,800 Soybeans, 4,000 Oil and even in Meal. Volume was moderate with an estimated 87,221 futures traded. Overnight March Soybeans are up 7 ¾ cents. China’s customs officials reported that in 2006 China imported 28.2 mmt. of Soybeans up 6.3% from 2005. The USDA released the weekly export sales today and show Soybean exports of 589.5 tmt. above the range of estimates of 350,000 to 550,000 tmt. The USDA will release its final 2006 Soybean production figures. It is widely believed that the report will show the US produced its biggest soybean crop on record in 2006. the consensus among analysts is near 3.241 bil. bu. up 37 mil bu. from the USDA’s latest estimate. This would surpass the previous record crop of 3.1 bil bu. sent in 2004. Overnight Malaysian Palm Oil Futures closed higher overnight. Chinese Soybeans, meal and oil futures closed higher. Opening call 6 to 8 cents higher eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSF7 659^6 6^0 659^6 658^2 ZSH7 672^4 7^6 674^4 665^6 ZSK7 686^0 6^6 688^0 678^6 ZSN7 701^2 8^6 701^2 695^0 ZMH7 194.1 2.4 194.4 191.6 ZMK7 198.0 2.3 198.0 197.0 ZLH7 28.32 0.28 28.35 28.04 ZLK7 28.70 0.19 28.70 28.64 Top News **USDA Soybeans 06/07 Export Sales Net: 589,500 mt; expected 350-500,000 **USDA Soybean Meal 06/07 Export Sales Net: 101,500 mt; expected 50-100,000 **USDA Soybean Oil 06/07 Export Sales Net: -1,300 mt; expected 5-10,000 -- Grain markets overnight rally on USDA's Keith Collins comments - he raises concerns to congress that biofuel production surpassing expected corn production. He indicated a corn use level equal to a trend line yield of 152 bpa on a total planted acre base of 85.6 BPA. -- China purchased a total of 28.27 mil tons of soybeans in the 2006 year, acc. to gov officials - an increase of 6.3% from last year -- US Census Bureau: Soyoil stocks in November at 3.074 mil, +2% over Oct, +66% greater than Nov '05 -- Brazil gov't slightly raises 06/07 soybean crop production to 54.9 mln mt vs Dec projection of 54.7 mln mt. The latest projection compares to year ago production of 53.4 mln mt., CONAB says. -- Export problems in Ukraine is reducing supply of feed wheat - viewed as supportive to US Corn exporters, acc. to traders. -- Soybean volume was 40,564 electronically traded; 45,324 pit traded; open interest off 1,140 contracts. -- Index Funds sold 1,800 Soybeans, 4,000 Oil. Even Meal. -- Soybean spreads: JPM 500 SH/SX, Term 500 SH/SN, 500 SN/SX, Tenco 500 SH/SK -- The Dollar is trading lower vs. the Euro, higher vs. the Yen. -- Chinese Corn, Soybean, Meal and Oil futures closed higher. -- Malaysian palm oil futures +1% today to $540/ton on overnight gains in CBOT soyoil and minor weather issues Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans: Jan. +36 to +39, LH Jan. +40 to +42, Feb. +42 to +46, Mar. +44 to +48, Apr. +35 to +39, May. +35 to +39 -- Processors: Decatur -15 Danville –20 Bloomington –10 Gibson City -20 -- Board Crush Margins: Jan. 63.67 up .30 Mar. 65.43 up .52 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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