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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Jan 10/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Friday soybeans rallied 6 cents on Friday but closed the week down by 17 ¼ in the March contract. Good South American growing weather, fund liquidation and abundant supplies are continuing to pressure the soybean complex traders say. Volume was moderate across the complex and commodity funds ended the day selling approximately 700 soybeans, 600 oil and even in meal. Informa released their US soybean production numbers on Friday at 3.26 bil. bu based on an average yield of 43.8 bu. per acre. This compares with a USDA estimate of 3.204 bil bu and an average yield of 43.0 bpa. Overnight Malaysian palm oil futures suffered sharp declines as demand was weak and fears of supply disruption started to ease as the weather is improving dealers said. Reports out of Argentina show a good start to the growing season and South American farmers reporting 87% planted of the record 16 mil hectares reportedly being planted. Massive losses in commodity prices since the start of 2007 has raised talk that speculative funds are liquidating. CFTC will release the Commitment of Traders report today. Overnight Chinese soybean, oil and meal futures are lower. Opening call 3 to 5 lower Oilseed plantings are estimated at 9.3 mil. hectares vs. 10.1 mil. last year. CIF Corn up 1-2 with Jan. +28 to +30, Feb. +35 to +40. River house bids steady to higher STL. up 1 at –1, Morris IL. River up 1 at –16. PNW Corn trains steady : Jan. +64 Feb. +67 Mar. +70 CIF Soybeans steady up 1 with Jan. +33 to +36, Feb. +40 to +44. Processor bids steady with pushes still being paid east and west. CIF SR Wheat steady off 2 Jan. +10 to +16 Feb. +18 to +20 **** Barge freight steady weak STL 200 - 215 IL. River 250 – 260 Ohio 240 **** BN rail freight steady Jan. -150 Feb. –200 Mar. –200 **** Soybean spreads: Term 600 SH/SN, Fimat 500 SN/SX, Tenco 300 SF/SH, JPM 300 SX/SN **** Corn spreads: IA 1,000 CZ/CN, Rand 300 CZ/CZ7, 200 CN/CZ, ADM 200 CK/CZ *********************************** Cash Markets************************************* CIF Corn : Jan. +28 to +30, LH Jan. +30 to +34,Feb. +35 to +40, Mar. +43 to +45, Apr. +37 to +40, May +38 to +42, June +38 to +42 NS Corn Jan. –13 Feb. –4 Mar. +2 AMJJ +5 Aug/Sept +12 Evansville CSX -12 CIF Soybeans: Jan. +33 to +36, LH Jan. +37 to +39, Feb. +40 to +43, Mar. +42 to +47, Apr. +35 to +39, May. +35 to +40 Processors: Decatur -15 Danville –20 Bloomington –20 Gibson City -20 Board Crush Margins: Jan. 64.60 up 1.13 Mar. 66.28 up 1.37 Exports: Israel tendering for 20,000 mt. EU Feed Wheat for Feb/Mar. CASH: Bean Barge Corn Barge SRW Barge HRW Track Ill Riv Frt FH Jan +33/36 H +27/30 H 270 Jan +37/40 H +29/33 H +12/15 H +65/70 H 280 Feb +40/43 H +35/40 H +20/25 H +67/73 H 310 Mch +42/47 H +43/45 H +25/29 H +68/75 H 310 Truck Beans Corn Wheat Meal Hi-pro Oil Chicago -28 H -10 H -45 H Toledo -40 H -21 H -45 H Dec ILL -15 H - 4 H -12 F -125 F To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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