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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Jan 5/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. A volatile day on Thursday in soybeans ended with March soybeans closing down 6 ½ cents. Traders say fund liquidation continued on Thursday with funds selling 2,500 soybeans, 3,500 Oil and bought 1,000 meal. Falling crude oil prices over the last several sessions are pressuring all commodities and undermining traders confidence that demand will continue for agricultural based products such as corn and soyoil to fuel the growing biofuels industry. Crude oil traded below $56.00 a barrel for the first time in more than a year. Gold prices have also plummeted recently and have lost an additional $18.00 per ounce today. Traders say this is a continuation of trend following fund liquidation, with a 9% loss in Oil and 10% loss in copper since Wednesday it has reinforced speculation that funds are exiting positions. Overnight Taiwan passed on a tender for 60 tmt option origin soybeans for Feb/March. South American bases is under pressure with beans, meal and oil offers all sharply lower in Brazil for Jan Shipment. Malaysian Palm oil futures were up 2% overnight on weather concerns. The USDA reported export sales of U.S. soybeans last week at 349,800 mt (old and new crop combined), below a range of trade estimates for 450,000 to 650,000 mt. soymeal at 72,600 mt(old and new crop combined), within a range of trade estimates for 50,000 to 100,000 mt. and oil at 4,700 mt, within a range of trade estimates for 0 to 10,000 mt. Overnight Chinese soybeans closed lower, meal and oil higher. Opening call 2 to 4 higher eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSF7 665^4 2^6 667^0 662^4 ZSH7 679^0 3^4 680^2 675^4 ZSK7 693^0 3^4 693^4 688^4 ZSN7 705^4 4^6 705^4 702^0 ZSQ7 710^0 4^4 710^0 708^4 ZMF7 189.3 0.7 189.3 188.5 ZMH7 193.5 0.2 194.6 192.8 ZMK7 197.7 1.1 197.7 196.6 ZLF7 28.49 0.19 28.49 28.15 ZLH7 28.92 0.27 29.00 28.55 ZLK7 29.42 0.25 29.42 29.02 Early Opening Calls: Top News -- Export News: Taiwan passed on a tender for 60,000 mt. US or Brazil Soybeans for Feb. **USDA Soybeans 06/07 Export Sales Net: 338,900 mt; expected 400-700,000 **USDA Soybean Meal 06/07 Export Sales Net: 71,800 mt; expected 50-100,000 **USDA Soybean Oil 06/07 Export Sales Net: 4,700 mt; expected unch to 10,000 -- Sen. Tom Harkin introduced a bill called the Biofuels Security Act of 2007. The bill would increase the Renewable Fuels Standard to 30 bil. gallons per year by 2020 and 60 bil. gallons by 2030. The present RFS is set at 7.5 bil. gallons by 2012. -- Informa is expected to release production estimates today. -- India Sept/Oct vegoil imports were 20% higher than year ago figure of 890,000 mt; reduced duties helped drive demand.-- Malaysian reversed 3 day downward trend and rose 2% on Friday. -- Crude Oil trading lower: $55.35 off .24 -- The Dollar is trading lower vs. most of the major currencies this morning. -- Chinese Corn, Meal and Oil futures closed higher overnight while Soybeans closed lower. -- Soybean spreads: Term 600 SH/SN, Bunge 500 SN/SH, Man 500 SH/SK, Rose 300 SK/SH-- Volume picked up late in the session Thursday along with Fund selling 2,500 Soybeans, 3,500 Oil. Bought 1,000 Meal. Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans: Jan. +32 to +38, LH Jan. +36 to +41, Feb. +39 to +44, Mar. +41 to +47, Apr. +42 to +47, May. +30 to +40 -- Processors: Decatur -15 Danville –20 Bloomington –20 Gibson City -20 -- Board Crush Margins: Jan. 63.47 up 4.41 Mar. 64.91 up 3.75 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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