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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Jan 4/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Commodity markets began 2007 in sell mode and soybeans were no exception. March Soybeans ended the day down 15 ¼ cents and March beans finished the overnight session down an additional 5 ½ cents. Traders say the weakness began with sharply lower corn and wheat prices as corn was limit down at one point in the day. Traders say the overall grain sell-off was mostly large hedge fund type selling. The large sell-off was not limited to grains as Energy markets, metals and many of the soft markets took big hits on Wednesday. The CRB Index dropped 2.8% on the day and the Goldman Sachs Index traded to new contract lows. Traders say to look for more fund liquidation over the next couple of days. Floor sources did say however that the long only (index type fund) did not participate in the sell-off. Funds on Wednesday sold 2,500 soybeans, 3,500 Oil and 2,500 Meal. Favorable weather in South America and abundant stocks of soy products are expected to continue to weigh fundamentally on the market as talk of continued fund liquidation today persists. Technical traders warn of getting too bearish as March soybeans traded to within 7 1/2 cents of their contracts highs just last Friday and many expect the market to support in the 675 area in the March contract. Reports today show Taiwan's Breakfast Soybean Procurement Association plans to buy 27,000 to 60,000 mt of Brazilian or U.S. soybeans. Malaysian palm oil futures slipped more than 2 percent on Thursday, pulled down by a decline in soybean oil and improving weather in flood-hit areas of the country. Opening call 3 to 4 lower. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSF7 663^2 -6^0 667^0 663^2 ZSH7 676^4 -5^4 681^0 675^6 ZSK7 690^6 -5^0 694^2 689^4 ZSN7 702^0 -5^4 707^4 701^2 ZMF7 186.7 -1.1 187.8 186.0 ZMH7 191.5 -0.9 192.6 190.3 ZMK7 195.1 -1.7 196.1 194.1 ZLF7 28.45 -0.20 28.45 28.45 ZLH7 28.86 -0.22 29.10 28.85 ZLK7 29.40 -0.11 29.56 29.36 Top News **Reminder: Weekly Export Sales delayed until Friday @ 7:30 am due to Holiday week -- Malaysian palm oil declined -2.2% overnight, to $545/ton, primarily on a weather situation that continues to improve in key production areas -- The preliminary report shows Soybean open interest up 2,415 yesterday -- Funds hit the sell button to start 2007. Selling 2,000 Soybeans, 3,500 Oil, 2,500 Meal. -- The Japan Federation of Commodity Exchanges announced today that TOCOM volume was down 49% Y/Y, and volume on all exchanges fell 18% for the year. -- Britain’s Meteorological Office is forecasting 2007 to be the hottest year on record worldwide. They look for worldwide average temperatures to push above the record set in 1998. -- Soybean spreads: Tenco 500 SN/SX, 400 SH/SN, ABN 500 SX/SN, 400 SN/SH -- Soybean electronic volume: 41,294; pit volume: 57,553 Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans: Jan. +30 to +36, LH Jan. +35 to +38, Feb. +38 to +42, Mar. +41 to +47, Apr. +42 to +47, May. +29 to ?? -- Processors: Decatur -15 Danville 10 Bloomington 20 Gibson City -20 -- Board Crush Margins: Jan. 59.06 off 1.48 Mar. 61.16 off 1.47 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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