for the World's Agriculture Industry Since 1988 |
![]() | ||
For full site access Lost Password? Customer Center Trade Directory Special Crops Beans Lentils Peas Chickpeas Birdseed Mustard & Other Spices & Herbs Dried Fruit & Nuts Supply-Demand The rest of Agriculture Bio-Energy Commentary Grain Oilseed Livestock Poultry Cotton & Wool Fresh Fruit & Vegetables Dried Fruit & Nuts Dairy Technology General Organic Just for Growers Cash Markets Futures Markets Weather Price Graphs Export Data Supply-Demand Subscribe Today! Privacy Policy Subscriber Agreement Ag Links Affiliates Add Headlines! To your website! |
Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Jan 3/07 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group.
The Soybean market ended the year on a bullish note ending the session up 6
¾ cents in March soybeans. Overnight soybeans wiped out Fridays grains
ending down 8 ½ cents in light volume. March soybeans ended up 23 cents for
the week but down 3 cents for the month and 8 ¾ cents off the Yearly highs.
For the year front month soybeans ended up 81 ½ cents. Traders say that
despite burdensome supplies, the long only index funds and the idea that
vegetable oil will be in demand for bio-diesel have limited the downside for
soybeans and soy related products in 2006. Funds ended 2006 much the same
way as they started buying 3,000 Soybeans, 1,700 Meal and sold 600 Oil.
Reports from all 3 growing regions in South America show Soybean Crops
progressing well. Regular rainfall in Brazil’s growing area are helping and
farmers report the crop to be in good condition. While areas such as Rio
Grande Do Sul report needing rain, Ag. Federation president reports that
there is really nothing to worry about. The commitment of Traders report as
of December 26th shows funds long 46,601 Soybeans up 1,394, Meal long 11,480
up 833 and oil long 47,590 down 3,314. Malaysian Palm Oil futures closed
down 1.7% on Wednesday as the weather in the flooded regions has been
improving and the ringgit currency strengthened against the US dollar.
Opening call 5 to 8 cents lower.
CBOT Overnight
Contract Last Change High Low
ZSF7 675^4 -8^0 682^4 675^4
ZSH7 689^0 -8^2 696^4 689^0
ZSK7 706^0 -3^4 709^6 705^0
ZSN7 715^0 -5^4 720^4 715^0
ZMF7 191.0 -0.9 191.9 191.0
ZMH7 196.0 -0.9 198.3 196.0
ZMK7 199.4 -0.3 201.0 199.4
ZLF7 28.90 -0.36 29.24 28.90
ZLH7 29.37 -0.33 29.84 29.37
ZLK7 29.89 -0.25 30.25 29.89
Top News
** Tuesday's USDA Grain Inspections - Soybeans: 19,261,000 bu (-41.0% vs.
last week, +21.8% vs. last year)
-- Grains faced a lot of pressure overnight - could be some traders believe
Funds will be sellers to start the new year and are trying to get a jump on
them? The volume of trade last night was not huge, 8,519 Corn contracts
traded.
-- Soybean sales good at 38.1 mil.bu taking year to date sales to 719
mil.bu. vs. 533 mil. sold on this date last year. Soybean sales will need to
stay strong to meet the USDA estimate as we have now sold 63% of the USDA
estimate vs. the five year average of 68 ½ %.
-- Malaysian Palm Oil futures declined -1.7% overnight to $559/ton, as
weather concerns dissipate
-- The World experienced the sixth warmest year in history in 2006. China
had it’s hottest year since 1951.
-- Don’t forget this week the CFTC will start the new Supplemental report
that will show positions for the Index Funds.
Cash Markets:
Cash markets did not see a lot of activity last Friday.
CIF Soybeans steady up 2. Jan. +35 to +36, LH Jan. +36 to +40, Feb. +40 to
+42, Mar. +43 to +47, Apr. +30 to ??
Processors: Decatur -18H Danville -10 Bloomington -20H Gibson
City -20H
Board Crush Margins: Jan. 60.54 up .17 Mar. 62.63 off 1.36
Transportation: Barge freight steady STL 205 - 215 IL. River 270 285
Ohio 185 200
BN rail freight firmer Jan. +50 Feb. 150 Mar. 200
To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me
directly
Nathan T. Smith III
Linn Group
nsmith@linngroup.com
toll free: (877) 787-6278
local: (312) 896-2090
fax: (312) 896-2050
www.linngroup.com/
DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
|