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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Dec 8/06 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybean update: Soybeans ended their recent slide on Thursday closing up 7 ¾ cents in the January contract. Traders say after opening higher and falling off, the market inched higher the last couple hours of trading. Volume was moderate to heavy with soybeans trading an estimated 103,231 futures and 16,171 Options. Commodity funds bought an estimated 2,000 soybeans, 2,000 meal and even in oil. Traders say the rally was due in part to decent export sales numbers but point to strength in corn again as the catalyst to the stronger soybean market. Opening calls today are slightly lower and traders say good south American crop weather and plentiful stocks of soy continue to act as an anchor on the market. Early opening calls are 1 to 2 lower in Soybeans, .50 lower in Meal and steady to a nickel higher in soybean oil. Positioning ahead of Monday's USDA supply/demand report expected. An average of analysts' estimates pegged 2006/07 U.S. soy ending stocks at 568 million bushels, up from the USDA forecast in November for 565 million. Overnight Chinese Soybean and Meal futures closed higher and Oil Lower. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed higher. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSF7 660^6 -1^2 664^4 659^4 ZSH7 674^2 -2^0 678^2 674^0 ZSK7 684^2 -1^2 687^2 684^2 ZSN7 693^0 -1^4 697^0 693^0 ZSQ7 697^6 -0^2 697^6 697^6 ZMF7 189.6 -0.9 190.9 189.5 ZMH7 192.9 0.0 193.9 192.5 ZLZ6 28.38 0.04 28.40 28.38 ZLF7 28.79 0.06 28.89 28.73 ZLH7 29.20 -0.01 29.25 29.20 Early Opening Calls: 1 to 2 lower Top News -- Weekly Soybeans sales pegged at 24.5 mil.bu. taking YTD to 621 mil.bu. vs. 455 mil.bu. last year. -- JP Morgan commodity outlook suggests Ag & Metal prices will remain bullish into 2007 on tight supply outlook & good market demand. -- Funds bought 2,000 Soybeans, 2,000 Meal and were even in Oil. -- Deliveries: Soyoil 556 Term stopped 195; Meal 981 no stopper. -- Soybean spreads: ADM 2,000 SF/SH, Tenco 1,000 SF/SH, Fimat 5,000 SH/SF, Ocon 2,000 SH/SF -- Chinese Soybean and Meal futures closed higher, Oil lower. Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans steady off 1. Dec. +57 to +61, LH Dec. +58 to +61, Jan. +59 to +62,Feb. +47 to +54. Mar. +44 to +47, Apr. +32 to ?? -- Processors: Decatur Even Danville -10 Bloomington -8 Gibson City -5 -- Board Crush Margins: Jan. 73.13 off .16 Mar. 69.44 off .52 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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