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Linn Group Morning Corn CommentCHICAGO - Dec 8/06 - SNS -- Following is the morning corn futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Corn Update: The corn market closed higher yesterday on supportive news on exports (surprise, surprise) and a recovery from the large break the market had on Wednesday. Year to date export sales are 1.023 bil vs. last year of 762 mil, very impressive and only expected to get bigger the rest of the year and next year. Volume was pretty light compared to the last couple of months, but funds were buyers of app. 4,000 contracts. Traders on the floor said that funds pushed the market higher at the end of the day, but it was also a lack of selling that helped the market. The weather in So. America is supposed to be drier the next 5 days, but they have plenty of soil moisture. It seems like the break we had on Wednesday made US corn cheap enough for exporters as we saw So. Korea buying 440,000 of optional origin corn in anticipation of higher corn prices in the future. The grain market should be pretty quiet on Friday as the market awaits the USDA report to be released on Monday morning before the opening. eCBOT market was a little lower overnight with the March closing down 2 ½ on pretty light volume. As expected, we didn’t see any follow through overnight after traders said the rally yesterday was on light volume. It seems like the corn market has turned from a buy, buy, buy market to sell the rally, buy the sell off. The lack of news will probably stall any attempt to rally the corn market and the anticipation of lower stocks will support any attempt to really sell the market. Today’s trade should be sideways as the market waits for the USDA report that will be released on Monday morning before the opening. Volume has been light the last week or so, possibly beginning our holiday markets a little early this year, not surprising since the last couple of months have been fast and frantic. We should see a lower opening this morning and I would expect to see a mostly sideways trade today, but it seems like the funds dress up the end of the week prices to make their positions look a little better. With the lighter volume we have been seeing, it might be easier to dress up their positions this week than weeks past. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZCZ6 355^0 -3^4 359^0 354^6 ZCH7 370^0 -2^4 373^4 368^4 ZCK7 375^2 -2^6 379^0 374^4 ZCN7 379^6 -3^0 383^0 378^6 Early Opening Calls: 1-2 lower Top News -- Export News: Taiwan passed on a tender for 60,000 mt. US Corn for Dec/Jan.; expected retender next week -- Coceral Co.: EU total corn production: -10.6% from '05 to 42.98 mil tons-- Officials at China’s Jilian Grain Bureau say even though the government has sold close to 2.7 mmt. of Wheat out of state stocks there are no plans to sell Corn as stocks are not plentiful. -- The Argentine Grain Exchange estimates 81.6% of the Corn crop is planted vs. 84% a year ago at this time. -- Weekly Corn export sales, at 32 mil.bu, came in on the low side of trade estimates. YTD corn sales are 1.023 bil.bu. vs. 762 mil.bu. sold on this date last year. -- JP Morgan commodity outlook suggests Ag & Metal prices will remain bullish into 2007 on tight supply outlook & good market demand. -- Fund came back to the buy side in Corn Thursday buying 4,000 contracts.-- Deliveries: Corn 979 no stopper.-- Corn spreads: IA 300 CH/CZ, Fimat 200 CH/CZ, Term 200 CN/CH, Man 200 CH/CN -- Chinese Corn, Soybean and Meal futures closed higher, Oil lower. -- Volume was 167.4, with open interest up .258 to 1376.9 -- 6-10 day forecast shows normal to above temps, below normal precip -- Outside markets: metals are mixed, energies are higher, dollar is lower against major currencies. Cash Markets -- CIF Corn up 2. Dec. +42 to +45, LH Dec. +45 to +47, Jan. +50 to +53, Feb. +50 to +55, March +50 to +53, Apr. +45 to +46. May +45 to +46 TREND: The corn chart bounced where it needed to. Look for a nervous day in front of the Mon USDA report. It does not have a production element but the USDA could draw down ending stocks on larger usage. Still look for the market to trade sideways for a moment and maybe most of Dec. However, taking out the lows of the last two days would certainly turn this chart more negative. If you have any questions or want to discuss specific trade recommendations, contact me directly. Jim Riley Linn Group 877-787-6278 jriley@linngroup.com www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. 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