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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Dec 5/06 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybean Update: Soybeans gapped lower on the open on Monday and did not look back, closing 17 ¾ cents lower. The weakness continued overnight as the January contract lost an additional 3 ¼ cents overnight. Traders say the market is being pressured by weakness in corn and soybean oil and prospects for a bigger than expected Brazilian soybean crop. Additional bearishness is coming from talk that the USDA is considering making it easier for farmers to take land out of the conservation reserve program so they can plant more corn next spring to meet demand. This offers bearish implications to soybeans as well traders say. Volume in soybeans were heavy on Monday in soybeans and products. Funds sold 4,000 soybeans, 3,000 meal and 1,500 oil. The USDA reported last week’s export inspections of soybeans at 33.4 mil. bu., near estimates for 27 to 33 mil. bu. Spot basis bids for soybeans in the Midwest were steady to firm late Monday. Overnight Chinese soybeans, Oil and Meal all closed lower. Malaysian palm oil futures closed weak. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSF7 656^0 -3^2 659^0 655^2 ZSH7 671^0 -2^4 673^0 669^2 ZSK7 682^0 -1^2 682^4 679^2 ZSN7 691^0 -2^4 692^4 689^6 ZMZ6 182.8 -0.5 182.8 182.8 ZMF7 185.9 0.2 186.5 184.7 ZMH7 189.7 0.3 190.4 188.6 ZLZ6 28.70 -0.20 28.80 28.70 ZLF7 29.10 -0.24 29.33 29.05 ZLH7 29.52 -0.26 29.75 29.49 Opening Calls: Lower 2 to 3 cents Top News -- USDA reports private sale of 120,000 mt of 06/07 US soybeans sold to Japan -- Funds a little more aggressive selling 4,000 Soybeans, 3,500 Meal, 1,000 Oil. -- A couple of new Brazil Soybean production estimates out yesterday. Brazil’s Veg Oil Industry Association issued a estimate of 55.2 mmt vs. their October estimate of 54.7 mmt. Brazil grain analyst Celeres issued a estimate of 54.5 mmt. vs. their November estimate of 53.7 mmt. -- The Argentine Grain exchange said Soybean planting was estimated at 64% complete vs. 66% last year.-- Soybean spreads: ADM 3,000 SF/SH, JPM 1,000 SF/SH, Tenco 1,200 SN/SX Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans up 1 to 2. Dec. +61 to +62, LH Dec. +61 to +63, Jan. +63 to +64, Feb. +50 to +52. Mar. +45 to +48, Apr. +32 to ?? -- Processors: Decatur -5 Danville -10 Bloomington -8 Gibson City -10 -- Board Crush Margins: Jan. 72.03 up 3.78 Mar. 70.76 up 3.65 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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