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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Nov 16/06 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybean Update: Soybeans went on the defensive on Wednesday closing down 7 ½ cents in the January contract after trading in a 16 cent range. Traders say soybeans again followed corn and the market was technically weak. Traders say the market rallied initially after the Malaysian palm oil futures closed at 2 year highs. Basis bids for soybeans were steady but farmer selling is slow underpinning basis levels. Volume in the soybeans was moderate but soybean oil volume was heavy. Funds on Wednesday were even in Soybeans bought 2,000 Oil and sold 1,000 meal. Traders say soybean export demand remains weak due to few purchases by China. Reports show China has slowed soybean purchases due to weaker crushing margins due to high prices for soybeans. Rising domestic Chinese corn prices are helping to push up soymeal prices and helping to raise crushing margins in recent days. Cash traders say most buyers are unwilling to pay current high prices with prospects for large soybean crops in a few months in South America. Weekly export sales released this morning came in at 755,700 mt. at the upper range of estimates of 555,000 to 800,000 mt. Argentine Ag. Secretary issued a new estimate for Soybean plantings at 15.9 mil. hectares vs. estimate of 15.6 mil. hectares. Iran purchased 70,000 mt of Brazilian soybean oil. Chinese Soybeans, meal and oil all closed higher. Malaysian palm oil futures closed mixed to weak. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSF7 668^6 5^0 669^0 662^4 ZSH7 680^4 4^4 680^4 675^0 ZSK7 689^0 4^6 689^6 684^4 ZSN7 697^0 3^6 697^2 692^0 ZMZ6 193.8 1.3 193.8 192.3 ZMF7 194.8 1.4 194.9 193.4 ZMH7 195.8 -0.3 195.8 195.7 ZLZ6 28.57 0.18 28.60 28.39 ZLF7 28.95 0.13 28.98 28.78 Opening Calls: higher 3 to 5 Top News **USDA Soybeans 06/07 Export Sales Net: 755,700 mt; expected 550-750,000 **USDA Soybean Meal 06/07 Export Sales Net: 132,700 mt **USDA Soybean Oil 06/07 Export Sales Net: 18,000 mt -- Export News: USDA reports sale of 115,000 mt of 06/07 soybeans to 'unknown' -- Funds reportedly Sold 2,500 Oil, 800 Meal. While they were 'even' for the day in Soybeans. -- The Argentine Ag Secretariat issued a new estimate for Soybean plantings at 15.9 mil. hectares vs. their previous estimate of 15.6 mil. hectares. They also raised their Wheat production estimate to 13.6 mmt. vs, their previous estimate of 13.5 mmt. -- 70,000 t of Brazil soyoil bought by state run Iran purchasing agency according to traders. The purchase was for 2x35,000 mt for shipment in Dec & Jan. -- Yum Brands, Taco Bell US restuarants, will convert to zero gram trans fat canola oil for its frying needs, dropping partially hydrogenated soybean oil. -- Chinese customs data shows imports of soybeans in Oct '06 totaled 2.25 mln T. Meanwhile, in the first 10 months of 2006, a total of 23.5 mln T of beans had been imported, a rise of 9.7% when compared to the same period year ago. -- Malyasian crude palm futures were lower; traders cite good exports and wet weather production concerns lead to the profit taking. Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans steady up 2. Nov. +44 to +47, Dec. +52 to +56, Jan. +55 to +60, Feb. +45 to +53. Mar. +40 to +48 -- Processors: Decatur -10F Danville -15 Bloomington -14F Gibson City -14F -- Board Crush Margins: Jan. 78.75 up .68 Mar. 75.74 up 1.79 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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