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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Nov 10/06 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybean Update: Soybeans declined by 8 ½ cents yesterday. Traders say despite the lower than expected USDA soybean figures and above expected weekly export sales that the market is following corn. Corn has been the leader and its failure to make new gains caused weakness across the entire grain complex. The products were mixed with soybean oil gaining on meal amid strong crude oil prices as soybean biodiesel production continues to expand. Some traders say it was buy the rumor sell the fact as the USDA’s numbers although bullish were not enough to take us to new highs. Fund trade picked up but not as much as many would have thought with the large volume traded yesterday. Funds sold 5,000 soybeans, 3,000 meal and bought 1,500 Oil. Cash traders report sales picked up slightly on Wednesday when the market rallied but turned quiet by Thursday with the lower trade. Spot basis bids were steady early Thursday. U.S. FOB Gulf soybean basis offers fell for the second day due to a slow down in export demand. Rising ocean freight at the Gulf has shifted export sales to the PNW traders say. Brazilian govt. Agency Conab estimated Brazil’s soybean crop at 53.9 mmt to 55.2 mmt compared to 53.5 to 55 mmt. in Oct. Overnight Chinese Soybeans, Meal and Oil all closed higher. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed lower. Opening call 1 to 2 higher. eCBOT Overnight: Contract Last Change High Low ZSX6 656^0 -1^4 656^2 654^4 ZSF7 671^6 2^2 672^4 666^6 ZSH7 684^0 2^6 684^0 678^4 ZSK7 689^0 0^0 689^4 686^2 ZSN7 698^2 1^6 698^4 693^0 ZMZ6 198.3 0.0 198.6 196.0 ZMF7 199.5 0.1 199.7 197.1 ZMH7 200.0 -1.9 200.7 200.0 ZLZ6 27.83 0.12 27.88 27.60 ZLF7 28.25 0.16 28.25 27.99 ZLH7 28.46 0.02 28.46 28.46 Top News: -- Deliveries: Soybeans 1,736 thru 11/9/06 Term stopped 227 ADM put out 201 -- Year to date Soybean Export Sales: 515 mil bu, including 28.2 mil bu this week. Last year at the same time, 378 mil bu were sold. -- IEA predicts slower demand for fuel, could pinch soybean oil. Early Opening Calls: Steady to slightly lower Cash Markets: CIF Soybeans up 2. Nov. +48 to +52, LH Nov. +51 to +55, Dec. +58 to +60, Jan. +60 to +66, Feb. +48 to +53. Mar. +40 to +50 River house bids steady firm STL. up 1 at –2, Morris Il. River up 2 at –31, Peoria up 1 at –23. Processor bids steady with pushes being paid east and west. Processors: Decatur -10F Danville -15 Bloomington -14F Gibson City -14F Board Crush Margins: Jan. 78.17 up 2.45 Mar. 75.77 up 2.00 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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