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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Nov 9/06 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybean Update: Soybeans surged again on Wednesday closing 10 ¾ cents higher in the January contract. The market continued to gain in price keeping pace with corn which made new 10 year highs yesterday. Volume was heavy in Soybeans with 108,836 contracts traded and funds were active on the buy side buying 1,000 soybeans, 5,000 meal and 3,000 Oil. Today the USDA released their November crop production report. The USDA reports US Nov. Soybean 2006/2007 Crop Production at 3.204 bln bu. which is below the average estimates of 3.25 bln. bu. and below the October Report of 3.189 bil. bu. Weekly export sales were also released today and sales for soybeans came in at 768,300 mt which is also below the range of analysts expectations of 500,000 to 700,000 mt. These reports combined are bullish for the market traders say and early calls are higher. Overnight Malaysian Palm oil futures closed higher. Chinese Soybean and Meal futures closed higher. Oil closed lower. Opening Call 3 to 5 cents higher. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSX6 665^4 -0^6 666^4 664^0 ZSF7 678^2 0^2 679^4 676^0 ZSH7 689^0 0^2 690^0 686^6 ZSK7 694^0 0^0 695^0 692^2 ZSN7 701^4 -0^6 702^0 699^0 ZMZ6 201.8 0.8 202.2 200.1 ZMF7 202.8 0.8 202.8 201.2 ZMH7 205.0 0.6 205.5 204.1 ZLZ6 27.75 0.03 27.88 27.62 ZLF7 28.12 0.00 28.21 28.01 ZLH7 28.45 0.01 28.46 28.42 --USDA Nov. Crop Production-- US **US Nov. Soybean 06/07 Crop Prod: 3.204 bln bu.; est. 3.25; Oct Rpt 3.189 **US Nov. Soybean Yield: 43.0 bpa; est. 43.5 bpa; Oct Rpt 42.8 bpa **US Nov. Soybean 06/07 Carryout: .565 bln bu. ; est. 0.58; Oct Rpt 0.555 **US Nov. Soymeal 06/07 Carryout: 300,000 T ; Oct Rpt 300,000 T **US Nov. Soyoil 06/07 Carryout: 2.688 bln lbs. ; Oct Rpt 2.694 World **World 06/07 Soybeans Carryout: 55.22 mmt; Oct Rpt 55.06 **World 06/07 Soymeal Carryout: 5.13 mmt; Oct Rpt 5.14 **World 06/07 Soyoil Carryout: 2.97 mmt; Oct Rpt 3.10 **Nov. Brazil 06/07 Soybean Output: 56.0 mmt; Oct Rpt 56.0 **Nov. Argentina 06/07 Soybean Output: 41.3 mmt; Oct Rpt 41.3 **Nov. China 06/07 Soybean Output: 16.2 mmt; Oct Rpt 16.2 --USDA Weekly Export Sales-- **USDA Soybeans 06/07 Export Sales Net: 768,300 mt; expected 500-700,000 **USDA Soybean Meal 06/07 Export Sales Net: 265,900 mt **USDA Soybean Oil 06/07 Export Sales Net: 100 mt Top News -- Export News: Taiwan bought 12,000 mt. Soybeans for Nov/Dec. -- Brazil's agriculture statistic office released a report today estimating corn/soybean output for the coming year. Soybeans were seen slightly higher, less than 1%, to 53.9-55.2 million tons. Corn registered a slightly higher increase, going up about 1-2% to 42.9-43.5 million tons. The corn production estimate is higher than 2005's total output of 41.7 million tons. Soybean acreage was slightly higher on the low side of the range, but largely unchanged. -- Funds all on the buy side Wednesday buying 1,000 Soybeans, 5,000 Meal, 3,000 Oil. -- Chinese Soybean and Meal futures closed higher, Corn and Oil lower. -- Soybean spreads: Tenco 500 SF/SN, 200 SN/SF, 500 SX/SX7,Rose 400 SX7/SN. -- CBOT Deliveries: Soybeans 1,351 thru 11/8/06 Term stopped 159-- The USDA Ag attaché in Brazil issued a Soybean production estimate of 55.5 mmt. This compares with the USDA ‘s recent estimate of 56.0 mmt. Brazil grain analyst up their Soybean production estimate to 55.9 mmt. vs. their Previous estimate of 52.6 mmt. Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans off 2 to 4. Nov. +46 to +49, LH Nov. +50 to +55, Dec. +55 to +60, Jan. +58 to +66, Feb. +48 to +53. Mar. +43 to +50 -- Processors: Decatur -10F Danville -13 Bloomington -14F Gibson City -14F -- Board Crush Margins: Jan. 75.72 off 1.18 Mar. 73.77 off 1.56 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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