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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Nov 8/06 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybean Update: Soybeans gained 4 /12 cents on Tuesday and an additional 8 ¼ cents overnight keeping pace with Corn. Traders say as long as corn continues to make new highs soybeans will need to follow. Lots of talk of increased index fund investment as Goldman Sachs released a press report saying that the Goldman Sachs Index will increase from $70 bil to $110 bil as of January. Traders are bracing themselves for the release of the USDA crop estimates on Thursday. Funds continue to be net buyers buying 2,500 soybeans, 1,800 meal and 1,300 oil yesterday. The Average estimate for the upcoming crop report is a yield of 3.237 bil bu., up from the USDA’s October forecast of 3.189 bil bu. The current record soybean crop is 3.1 bil. bu. harvested in 2004. Ending stocks are also seen growing to aprox. 584 mil bu (average range of estimates) up from the USDA’s October forecast of 3.189 bil bu. Chinese soybean imports are reported to be 2.250 mmt. up 9%. Brazil’s IBGE raised its soybean crop estimates 5% to 55.2 mmt. Overnight Malaysian Palm oil futures closed lower. Chinese Soybean, Meal and oil futures closed higher. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSX6 655^0 0^2 655^0 655^0 ZSF7 675^4 8^2 676^0 667^4 ZSH7 686^0 7^4 686^2 678^0 ZSK7 693^0 7^4 693^0 685^6 ZSN7 700^0 7^4 700^0 692^4 ZMZ6 199.7 2.3 199.9 197.2 ZMF7 199.8 1.6 200.7 198.7 ZMH7 201.9 1.1 202.7 201.0 ZLZ6 27.84 0.17 27.84 27.62 ZLF7 28.18 0.17 28.18 28.00 Opening Calls: 6 to 8 cents higher. Top News -- Goldman Sachs released a press release said the Gold Man Sachs Index commodity composition will not change in 2007. They also said investment in commodity indexes will increase to $110 bil. as of January from $70 bil. previously. -- Government of Brazil believes another record soybean crop to be on the horizon, predicting a 5.5% increase in total soybean production in '06/'07. The current forecast pegs the crop at 55.2 million tons, compared to last year's record 52.4 million ton harvest. -- Chinese government said today that imports of soybeans were up 9.7%, from January to October on the previous year. The increased demand has likely come from China's crushing industry, which is attempting a comeback after some hard times. -- Funds were buyers in 2,500 Soybeans, 1,800 Meal and 1,300 Oil. -- Deliveries: Soybeans 1,352 thru 11/7/06 Term stopped 148 ADM stopped 18 -- Chinese Soybean, Meal, Oil and Corn futures closed higher.-- Soybean spreads: Tenco 2,000 SF/SX, 700 SX7/SN, ABN 1,500 SF/SN, Rose 300 SX7/SN. Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans steady up 2. Nov. +51 to +53, LH Nov. +54 to +58, Dec. +59 to +63, Jan. +63 to +66, Feb. +48 to +53. Mar. +43 to +50 -- Processors: Decatur -10F Danville -13 Bloomington -14F Gibson City -14F -- Board Crush Margins: Jan. 75.33 up 2.60 Mar. 75.33 up 2.60 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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