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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Oct 17/06 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybean Update: Soybeans took a break from their harvest rally on Monday closing 2 ¼ cents lower but gained 7 cents overnight. Traders cite several factors for this counter seasonal rally including delayed harvest due to wet weather, increased feed demand, and higher wheat and corn prices bringing soybeans along. Late Monday the USDA crop progress report released shows soybean harvest at 69% complete vs. 74% last year and a 65% average. Spot basis bids for soybeans were steady in the Midwest on Monday cash dealers reported, but said that farmer selling was spotty as farmers are waiting for higher prices. German Oil seed analyst Oil World reports soybean production will turn out larger than expected but the consumption forecast is up by 1.1 mil. mt. from its previous estimate and up by 10.4 mil. mt. last season. Brazil grain analyst estimates 19% of the 2006/07 soybean crop has been sold by producers vs. 25% at this time last year, with 4% planted so far. Funds on Monday sold 500 Soybeans, 300 oil and bought 1,200 meal. Soybean Update eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSX6 596^0 7^0 596^0 587^4 ZSF7 610^0 6^4 610^0 601^6 ZSH7 620^0 6^6 620^0 612^0 ZSK7 628^0 6^4 628^0 620^0 ZSN7 637^0 5^6 637^0 630^4 ZMZ6 180.4 1.9 180.4 178.1 ZMF7 181.0 1.8 181.0 179.8 ZLZ6 25.11 0.18 25.11 24.86 ZLF7 25.30 -0.01 25.31 25.30 ZLH7 25.66 0.00 25.66 25.66 Early Opening Calls: 5 to 7 higher Top News -- Chicago Mercantile Exchange confirms buyout deal for rival CBOT exchange. The combined value of the 2 exchanges is at $25 billion based on recent closing prices. Exports: Taiwan bought 58,000 mt. US Soybeans for Nov. -- Funds bought 1,200 Meal, while selling 500 Soybeans and 300 Oil. -- Soybean spreads: ADM 2,100 SX/SF, Citi 500 SX/SH, RJ 400 SX/SH, Fimat 600 SF/SX. Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans steady . Oct. +51 to +59, Nov. +63 to +65, LH Nov. +69 to +72, Dec. +58 to +63, Jan. +62 to +73, Feb. +45 to +62. -- Processors: Decatur -8 Danville -12 Bloomington -15 Gibson City -15 -- Board Crush Margins: Nov.. 77.93 off .14 Jan.. 69.15 off .64 Mar. 68.53 off 1.16 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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