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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Oct 11/06 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybean Update: Soybeans gave up their wheat led rally on Tuesday closing down 14 cents in the November contract. Traders attribute the break to the soybean market being overbought and the wheat unable to bring soybeans along. Soybeans have climbed almost 30 cents over the past week despite the ongoing harvest of what could be the largest crop in history. The USDA reported late Tuesday that 47% of U.S. soybean crop was harvested, above trade estimates for 40% to 45%. Weekly export inspection figures released Tuesday show that 23.123 mil. bu. of soybeans were inspected for export above estimates for 13 mil. bu. to 17 mil. bu. Funds on Tuesday sold 4,500 soybeans, 1,500 meal and 1,500 oil. Tomorrow Thursday October 12th the USDA will issue October Production and Supply and demand report. Traders expect the USDA to raise estimates of the 2006 U.S. soybean crop to be 3.2 bil. bu. and a yield of 43.4 bu per acre, above the Sept. estimate of 3.093 bil bu and a yield of 41.8 bpa. Overnight Malaysian Palm Oil closed weaker,. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSX6 560^6 0^2 561^4 558^6 ZSF7 575^0 -0^2 575^4 573^0 ZSH7 585^0 -0^2 586^0 583^6 ZSK7 594^0 1^0 594^0 591^4 ZSN7 602^4 -0^2 603^6 600^0 ZMV6 165.7 -0.1 165.9 165.7 ZMZ6 166.9 0.1 167.7 166.5 ZMF7 168.0 0.1 168.0 167.8 ZLZ6 24.45 -0.08 24.52 24.40 Early Opening Calls: Top News -- The weekly USDA progress report shows Corn harvest 29% complete vs. 35% last year and 32% average. Soybean harvest 47% complete vs. 56% last year and 47% average. -- South Korea passed on a tender for 50,000 MT of U.S. non-GMO soybeans; lack of bidders cited as the reason. -- Funds Tuesday sold 4,500 Soybeans, 1,500 Meal, 1,500 Oil. -- Soybean spreads: JPM 1,500 SF/SX, Fimat 2,800 SF/SX, ADM 2,600 SX/SF, GH 500 SX/SF. Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans up 2 to 3. Oct. +60 to +63, LH Oct. +61 to +65, Nov. +69 to +72, Dec. +57 to +63, Jan. +62 to +75. -- Processors: Decatur -15 Danville -18 Bloomington -20 Gibson City -20 * Board Crush Margins: Oct. 71.12 up 2.78 Dec. 76.29 up 1.68 Jan. 68.47 up 2.01 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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