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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Oct 6/06 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybean Update: A bull market in soybeans during harvest? Soybeans have gained 23 cents in 2 days. Traders say yesterdays 10 ¼ cent rally in the November contract was due to impressive weekly export sales figures and short covering. Yesterday the USDA reported higher than expected soybean exports last week with 1,254,800 mt above estimates for 700,000 to 900,000 mt. Traders caution that the market appears technically overbought and remind us that we are currently harvesting one of the largest soybean crops in history which could limit the upside. One analyst says corn and wheat are outpacing the soybean rally and outside of the good export sales numbers there isn't a lot of bullish news. Funds were active in soybeans on Thursday buying 6,000 contracts, 3,600 meal and 2,000 oil. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed flat. eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSX6 564^4 -1^0 566^6 562^4 ZSF7 578^6 -1^2 580^4 576^4 ZSH7 589^4 -0^2 590^6 588^0 ZSK7 596^2 -1^6 598^4 595^0 ZSN7 605^6 -2^6 608^0 605^6 ZMV6 167.0 -0.3 167.0 167.0 ZMZ6 169.5 -0.1 169.8 168.0 ZMF7 170.1 -0.5 170.1 170.1 ZLZ6 24.03 -0.03 24.05 23.98 ZLF7 24.37 -0.11 24.40 24.37 Early Opening Calls: mixed to easier Top News -- Funds trade a mixed bag Thursday, funds bought 6,000 Soybeans, 3,600 Meal, 2,000 Oil. -- Brazil's government estimated Brazil 2006/07 Soybean production at 53.5 to 55.0 mmt. This compares to last years crop of 53.5 mmt. -- Argentina has received some helpful rains this week but more is needed. Australia has only scattered showers in the forecast when what they need is a good general rain. -- The preliminary report shows open interest for Soybeans off 4,465. -- The CBOT raised hedge margins on Corn to $500 from $450 Wheat $1000 vs. $800 -- Soybean spreads: ABN 1,500 SF/SX, Adv 700 SX/SF, Term 700 SF/SX, ADM 500 SF/SX. Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans up 1-2. Oct. +59 to +62, LH Oct. +63 to +66, Nov. +69 to +74, Dec. +59 to +63, Jan. +63 to +72. -- Processors: Decatur -15 Danville -20 Bloomington -20 Gibson City -20 -- Board Crush Margins: Oct. 64.58 off 1.89 Dec. 72.28 off 1.89 Jan. 64.60 off 1.37 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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