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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Sep 5/06 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybean Update: Soybeans on Friday closed weaker by 4 ¼ cents on light holiday trade. Overnight trade has soybeans another penny lower. Traders say harvest pressure and overall weakness due to large supplies and good finishing weather are causing the continued weakness in Soybeans. Private analysts are beginning to release their estimates for U.S soybean crop ahead of the USDA sep. 12th crop report. FCStone estimated soybean production at 42.8 bpa and a yield of 3.166 bil. Bu. Allendale estimates Soybean crop production of 42.05 bpa and production of 3.109 bil. Bu. So. Korea passed on 25 tmt. Non-GMO edible beans for Sept. China much more active around all bean origins. Brazil gain analyst Celeres lowered their estimate for 2006/07 soybean production to 55.1 mmt. down from their previous estimate of 56.0 mmt. Some analysts In Brazil are forecasting a crop as low as 51 to 53 mmt. The Commitment of Traders report with Options as of August 29th shows funds short 45,247 Soybeans off 892, Meal short 43,553 up 307 and oil Long 22,040, off 15,061. Funds on Friday sold 500 Soybeans, 1,000 Oil and bought 300 Meal. - Malaysian crude palm oil futures closed lower in thin trade on Tuesday, hit by a decline in the prices of crude oil and lack of fresh fundamentals. Early Call: 1 to 2 lower. Top News -- Deliveries: Soybeans 2,190 thru 9/1/06 no stopper Oil 951 thru 9/1/06 no stopper Meal 7 thru 7/31/06 no stopper -- Soybeans spreads: Bunge 1,000 SU/SX, 500 SX/SF, Tenco 800 SU/SX, Term 500 SX/SU. Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans steady off 1 . Sept. +50 to +56, LH Sept. +52 to +60, Oct. +58 to +60, Nov. +65 to +69, Dec. +55 to +60, Jan. +62 to +68. -- Processors: Decatur -7U Danville -18X Bloomington -40X Gibson City -35X -- Board Crush Margins: Sept. 80.80 off .10 Oct. 72.53 up .62 Jan. 76.44 up .87 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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