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Linn Group Morning Soybean CommentCHICAGO - Sep 1/06 - SNS -- Following is the morning soybean futures comment from the futures commission brokerage firm Linn Group. Soybean Update: Soybeans closed unchanged in the November contract and ¼ cent higher overnight. Traders say that soybeans are still dealing with big stocks and not a lot of demand, which was evident with the moderate volume and narrow range for Thursday. Most analysts expect the USDA to raise its average U.S. Soybean yield estimate in its September report to at lease 40 to 41 bpa. which is an increase over it's August report of 39.6 bpa. Most traders indicate that soybeans should have a tough time gaining much strength with harvest staring us in the face. Traders say expectations today are for a mild short-covering bounce likely at the open amid oversold technical signals and position-squaring ahead of the long holiday weekend. Traders expectations are for gains to be limited by abundant stocks of soy. Funds on Thursday bought 400 Soybeans, sold 900 meal and even in oil. commercials bought 2,000 oil. Malaysian Palm oil futures closed firm. Chinese soybeans meal and oil all closed higher. Opening calls: ½ to 1 cent higher. Soybean Update eCBOT Overnight Contract Last Net Change High Low ZSU6 543^4 1^2 543^4 542^0 ZSX6 556^0 0^2 557^0 555^0 ZSF7 570^0 0^6 570^0 568^2 ZSH7 582^0 2^0 582^0 580^0 ZSK7 N/A 0^0 N/A N/A ZMV6 159.5 0.8 159.5 159.5 ZMU6 N/A 0.0 N/A N/A ZMZ6 161.6 0.2 162.3 161.4 ZLU6 N/A 0.00 N/A N/A ZLV6 25.32 0.00 25.32 25.32 ZLZ6 25.65 -0.09 25.74 25.60 Early Opening Calls: mixed Top News -- Deliveries: . Oil 864 thru 8/31/06 no stopper. Soybeans 1,654 thru 8/31/06 ADM stopped 85. Meal 81 thru 7/31/06 no stopper -- Soybean spreads: RJ 800 SU/SX, ADM 600 SX/SU, ABN 300 SU/SX, Tenco 300 SU/SX Cash Markets -- CIF Soybeans steady. Aug. +52 to +57, Sept. +52 to +57, LH Sept. +54 to +60, Oct. +60 to +65, Nov. +65 to +68, Dec. +55 to +60, Jan. +62 to +68. -- Processors: Decatur -7U Danville -20X Bloomington -40X Gibson City -35X -- Board Crush Margins: Sept. 80.90 up .96 Oct. 71.91 up 1.32 Jan. 75.57 up .74 To discuss this report further or for specific trade ideas please contact me directly Nathan T. Smith III Linn Group nsmith@linngroup.com toll free: (877) 787-6278 local: (312) 896-2090 fax: (312) 896-2050 www.linngroup.com/ DISCLAIMER: Futures and options trading involve substantial risk. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more then their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express of an implied promise, guarantee or implication by of from the Linn Group, Inc. that you will profit or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Information on this page is derived from third parties and is deemed to be reliable. STAT Communications Ltd. accepts no responsibility for errors, omissions or inaccuracies in any of the material presented on this web site. Opinions expressed on this web site are those of the respective individuals and/or institutions and do not represent the opinions of STAT Communications Ltd. or its management.
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